Result
1:3
04/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 35
- Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (591/651) | 80% (259/325) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (591/651) | 80% (259/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (180/214) | 71% (42/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/34) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Awoniyi T. ⚽, Bakwa D. (A),
- 10', Morato 🟨,
- 14', Gusto M. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 2, Igor Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+5', Abbott Z. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
- 45+9', Derry J. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
- 45+10', Palmer C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Adarabioyo T. ↓, Colwill L. ↑,
- 46', Cunha ↓, Milenkovic N. ↑,
- 46', Dominguez N. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
- 46', Igor Jesus ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 3, Awoniyi T. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
- 58', Lavia R. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
- 66', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
- 66', Sanchez R. ↓, Jorgensen F. ↑,
- 78', Caicedo M. 🟨,
- 78', Delap L. 🟨,
- 80', Bakwa D. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Joao Pedro ⚽, Cucurella M. (A),
Chances of winning
Chelsea
55.5% | Draw
24.2% | Nottingham Forest
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Chelsea - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.82) |
3.99 ↑
(3.98) |
4.74 ↑
(4.15) |
4%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chelsea - Nottingham Forest?
- Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Nottingham will win (votes: 11 - 19.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 54.5% – 78.9%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.62) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.35) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- EH -1 - Chelsea (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Chelsea (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Nottingham (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3.
- In recent matches, Chelsea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nottingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Chelsea is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Chelsea: Estêvão
(Hamstring Injury)
Mudryk M.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W.
(Knee Injury)
Hudson-Odoi C.
(Injury)
John Victor
(Knee Injury)
Savona N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Chelsea: Colwill L.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Gittens J.
(Muscle Injury)
James R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jorgensen F.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Nottingham: Cunha
(Shoulder Injury)
Murillo
(Muscle Injury)
Ndoye D.
(Injury)
Sangare I.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Nottingham Forest?
Chelsea has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Chelsea?
Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
18.10.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Chelsea
0:3
25.05.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Chelsea
0:1
06.10.2024
Chelsea
-
Nottingham Forest
1:1
11.05.2024
Nottingham Forest
-
Chelsea
2:3
02.09.2023
Chelsea
-
Nottingham Forest
0:1
Latest results of Chelsea
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
English Premier League Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Nottingham Forest?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Solh Sports 1 |
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event |
 Bangladesh | Toffee Live |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | Now Player |
 Iceland | SÝN, SÝN Sport |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1 |
 Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Setanta Sports |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, TeleXitos, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
