Salernitana vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Salernitana - Fiorentina
Result
0:2
21/04/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 33
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
Salernitana - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.13
Ball Possession
27%73%
Goal Attempts
512
Shots on Goal
17
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
1516
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
32
Throw-ins
1823
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Fouls
1311
Yellow Cards
24
Total Passes
217604
Completed Passes
126513
Attacks
68134
Dangerous Attacks
1962
Crosses Completed
15
Distance Covered (km)
107106

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 45', Basic T. 🟨,
  • 45', Sottil R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 61', Candreva A. 🟨,
  • 63', Pirola L. , Pellegrino M. ,
  • 68', Candreva A. , Martegani A. ,
  • 68', Ikwuemesi C. , Weissman S. ,
  • 70', Castrovilli G. , Kouame C. ,
  • 70', Lopez M. , Arthur Melo ,
  • 77', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Kouame C. , Ranieri L. (A),
  • 82', Kayode M. , Faraoni D. ,
  • 82', Duncan A. , Mandragora R. ,
  • 84', Sambia J. , Zanoli A. ,
  • 84', Basic T. , Simy ,
  • 87', Barak A. , Milenkovic N. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, Ikone J. , Mandragora R. (A),

Chances of winning


Salernitana
17.6%
Draw
23.4%
Fiorentina
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 23.2% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 21.6% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Salernitana - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.41
    (4.99)
    4.11
    (4.1)
    1.63
    (1.65)
    4.3%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Salernitana - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 58.7%88.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).
    • Salernitana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Fiorentina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Salernitana - Fiorentina were as follows:
    03.12.2023 Fiorentina - Salernitana 3:0
    03.05.2023 Salernitana - Fiorentina 3:3
    09.11.2022 Fiorentina - Salernitana 2:1
    Latest results of Salernitana
    12.04.2024 Lazio - Salernitana 4:1
    05.04.2024 Salernitana - Sassuolo 2:2
    01.04.2024 Bologna - Salernitana 3:0
    16.03.2024 Salernitana - Lecce 0:1
    09.03.2024 Cagliari - Salernitana 4:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    15.04.2024 Fiorentina - Genoa 1:1
    07.04.2024 Juventus - Fiorentina 1:0
    03.04.2024 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Salernitana - Fiorentina?
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