Result
1:3
13/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 3
- Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.66 | 3.17 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
82% (373/456) | 83% (346/419) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.66 | 3.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.39 | 3.73 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
82% (373/456) | 83% (346/419) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (19/46) | 36% (17/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (69/112) | 69% (72/104) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (7/23) | 8% (1/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.33 | 1.94 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 86% (12/14) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.73 | 0.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.73 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, De Bruyne K. (Pen),
- 14', 0 - 2, Hojlund R. ⚽, Spinazzola L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dzeko E. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 3, Beukema S. ⚽, Anguissa F. (A),
- 65', Fagioli N. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
- 65', Sohm S. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
- 69', Politano M. ↓, David Neres ↑,
- 69', De Bruyne K. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
- 69', Spinazzola L. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
- 73', Hojlund R. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Ranieri L. ⚽,
- 87', Comuzzo P. ↓, Lamptey T. ↑,
- 90+3', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
- 90+3', Pongracic M. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina 13.7% | Draw 23.6% | Napoli 62.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Napoli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-19.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fiorentina - Napoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
9.78 ↑ (3.75) |
5.56 ↑ (3.22) |
1.96 ↓ (2.13) |
-20.7% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Napoli?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Napoli will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 64.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Napoli (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.
- Fiorentina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Napoli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Napoli has had a series of home games.
- Napoli could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Napoli: Contini N.
(Hand Injury)
Lukaku R.
(Thigh Injury)
Rrahmani A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Gudmundsson A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Napoli: David Neres
(Muscle Injury)
Gutierrez M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Napoli?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Fiorentina?
Napoli has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Napoli were as follows:
09.03.2025
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
2:1
04.01.2025
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
0:3
17.05.2024
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
2:2
18.01.2024
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
3:0
08.10.2023
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
1:3
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Juventus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
3 | Cremonese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Udinese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
5 | AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
6 | AS Roma | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
8 | Cagliari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Como | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
11 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 3 |
12 | Lazio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
16 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
17 | Verona | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
18 | Pisa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Lecce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
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