Napoli vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Napoli - Fiorentina
Result
2:1
09/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 28
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Napoli - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.881.14
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
197
Shots on Goal
112
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
19
Free Kicks
510
Offsides
01
Fouls
105
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1920
Touches in the Opposition Box
2816
Passes
86% (417/485)84% (430/512)
Passes in the final third
72% (96/133)72% (71/98)
Crosses
18% (3/17)25% (3/12)
Tackles
63% (10/16)71% (5/7)
Clearances Total
2322
Interceptions
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Lukaku R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Buongiorno A. 🟨,
  • 58', Parisi F. , Gosens R. ,
  • 59', Ranieri L. , Pongracic M. ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Raspadori G. , Lukaku R. (A),
  • 64', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Gudmundsson A. , Kean M. (A),
  • 74', Comuzzo P. , Moreno M. ,
  • 81', Cataldi D. , Beltran L. ,
  • 82', Politano M. , Olivera M. ,
  • 86', McTominay S. , Billing P. ,
  • 87', Raspadori G. , Simeone G. ,
  • 88', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Spinazzola L. , Juan Jesus ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
60.3%
Draw
25%
Fiorentina
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 25.3% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 24.4% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Napoli - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.73)
    3.85
    (3.77)
    6.48
    (4.93)
    4.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Napoli - Fiorentina?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Napoli will win! (49 of 56 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli won 3.
    • Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fiorentina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Napoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Napoli is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Calf Injury) David Neres (Thigh Injury) Mazzocchi P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Mandragora R. (Yellow Cards) Zaniolo N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Adli Y. (Ankle Injury) Folorunsho M. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Napoli won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:26 (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Fiorentina were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3
    17.05.2024 Fiorentina - Napoli 2:2
    18.01.2024 Napoli - Fiorentina 3:0
    08.10.2023 Napoli - Fiorentina 1:3
    07.05.2023 Napoli - Fiorentina 1:0
    Latest results of Napoli
    01.03.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 1:1
    23.02.2025 Como - Napoli 2:1
    15.02.2025 Lazio - Napoli 2:2
    09.02.2025 Napoli - Udinese 1:1
    02.02.2025 Roma - Napoli 1:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    10.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli ✔ 372310457:273079
    2Inter ✔ 37239577:354278
    3Atalanta ✔ 37228776:344274
    4Juventus371716455:332267
    5AS Roma37199954:351966
    6Lazio371811861:481365
    7Fiorentina371881157:391862
    8Bologna371614756:441262
    9AC Milan371791159:431660
    10Como3713101449:50-149
    11Torino3710141339:43-444
    12Udinese371281739:53-1444
    13Genoa379131534:48-1440
    14Cagliari37991940:54-1436
    15Verona37972132:65-3334
    16Parma376151641:56-1533
    17Lecce377102026:58-3231
    18Empoli376131832:57-2531
    19Venezia375141830:53-2329
    20Monza ✔ 37392528:67-3918

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Monza is Relegated to Serie B
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