Cincinnati vs FC Dallas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - FC Dallas
Result
3:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Cincinnati - FC Dallas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.00
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
89% (528/590)79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.692.05
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3629
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
157
Passes
89% (528/590)79% (273/346)
Long passes
57% (32/56)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (8/24)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.68
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
715
Tackles
70% (14/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5636
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.052.69
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', Powell A. 🟨,
  • 8', Farfan M. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. , Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
  • 36', Urhoghide O. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
  • 44', Kaick 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Kamungo B. , Pedrinho ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Musa P. , Moore S. (A),
  • 62', Musa P. 🟨,
  • 64', Sergio Santos , Kamara K. ,
  • 65', Kaick , Delgado P. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. , Pedrinho (A),
  • 73', Bucha P. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 73', Orellano L. , Engel L. ,
  • 73', Powell A. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
  • 83', Julio Santos A. A. , Farrington L. ,
  • 83', Yedlin D. , Baird C. ,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. , Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
  • 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
59%
Draw
22.5%
FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 23.6% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.3% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.66)
    4.27
    (4.02)
    5.09
    (4.92)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Lletget S. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:
    29.06.2024 FC Dallas - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1
    04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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