Cincinnati vs FC Dallas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - FC Dallas
Result
3:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Cincinnati - FC Dallas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.00
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
89% (528/590)79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.692.05
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3629
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
157
Passes
89% (528/590)79% (273/346)
Long passes
57% (32/56)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (8/24)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.68
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
715
Tackles
70% (14/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5636
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.052.69
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', Powell A. 🟨,
  • 8', Farfan M. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. , Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
  • 36', Urhoghide O. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
  • 44', Kaick 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Kamungo B. , Pedrinho ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Musa P. , Moore S. (A),
  • 62', Musa P. 🟨,
  • 64', Sergio Santos , Kamara K. ,
  • 65', Kaick , Delgado P. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. , Pedrinho (A),
  • 73', Bucha P. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 73', Orellano L. , Engel L. ,
  • 73', Powell A. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
  • 83', Julio Santos A. A. , Farrington L. ,
  • 83', Yedlin D. , Baird C. ,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. , Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
  • 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
59%
Draw
22.5%
FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 23.6% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.3% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.66)
    4.27
    (4.02)
    5.09
    (4.92)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Lletget S. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:
    29.06.2024 FC Dallas - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1
    04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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