FBC Melgar vs Vasco da Gama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana FBC Melgar - Vasco da Gama
Result
3:3
02/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
FBC Melgar - Vasco da Gama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.03
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
160
Passes
90% (490/543)80% (238/299)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.061.99
Total shots
206
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
160
Touches in opposition box
485
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
158
Passes
90% (490/543)80% (238/299)
Long passes
63% (31/49)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
82% (174/211)50% (29/58)
Crosses
16% (10/64)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.90
Fouls
815
Tackles
50% (4/8)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3644
Clearances Total
856
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.992.06
Goals prevented
-1.01-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Coutinho , Lucas Piton (A),
  • 25', Martinez T. (Pen),
  • 27', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Vegetti P. , Coutinho (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Rodriguez G. , Orzan H. (A),
  • 45+4', Liza P. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Lemos M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Paulinho Paula , Jair ,
  • 46', Garre B. , Rayan ,
  • 52', 1 - 3, Vegetti P. ,
  • 62', Barrios P. , Tandazo W. ,
  • 62', Liza P. , Bordacahar C. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez G. , Guzman L. ,
  • 69', Coutinho , Tche Tche ,
  • 71', Moreira N. , Adson ,
  • 73', Arias A. , Castro F. ,
  • 77', Lazo M. 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 79', Lazo M. , Ramos E. ,
  • 81', 2 - 3, Castro F. , Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (A),
  • 84', Vegetti P. , Lucas Oliveira ,
  • 90', 3 - 3, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 90+6', Lucas Oliveira 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
42.9%
Draw
30.4%
Vasco da Gama
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 29.5% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 29.3% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FBC Melgar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • FBC Melgar - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.48)
    3.09
    (3.16)
    3.48
    (2.82)
    6.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
  • What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Vasco da Gama?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Melgar will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    30.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Santos 2:1
    08.03.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    01.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani42209:638
    2Independiente42028:626
    3Nacional Potosi41125:6-14
    4Boston River41127:11-44


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica ✔ 431010:4610
    2Cerro Largo41123:6-34
    3Vitoria40312:3-13
    4Defensa y Justicia40312:4-23


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan431010:2810
    2America De Cali41305:326
    3Corinthians41214:405
    4Racing Montevideo40042:12-100


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz43107:2510
    2Gremio42206:338
    3Grau40222:6-42
    4Sp. Luqueno40133:7-41


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa43109:4510
    2Palestino43018:539
    3Union de Santa Fe41032:7-53
    4Cruzeiro40133:6-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Once Caldas43016:339
    2Fluminense42117:257
    3GV San Jose41124:9-54
    4U. Espanola40222:5-32


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus42206:248
    2Vasco41215:7-25
    3Puerto Cabello41126:514
    4FBC Melgar41124:7-34


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano41307:526
    2Atletico-MG41217:435
    3Caracas41216:7-15
    4Deportes Iquique41126:10-44

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    U. Catolica is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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