Exeter City vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League One Exeter City - Port Vale
Result
0:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 8
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Exeter City - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.51
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
81% (353/434)65% (119/183)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.68
Total shots
85
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
178
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
113
Passes
81% (353/434)65% (119/183)
Long passes
34% (22/65)33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
67% (92/137)52% (36/69)
Crosses
10% (2/20)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.09
Throw-ins
3320
Fouls
312
Tackles
63% (5/8)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3636
Clearances
2439
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.681.16
Goals prevented
-1.321.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Paton R. , Byers G. (A),
  • 11', Aitchison J. , Francis E. ,
  • 12', Humphreys C. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Cole D. , Paton R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
  • 66', Paton R. , Brown D. ,
  • 70', Heneghan B. , Debrah J. ,
  • 71', Doyle-Hayes J. , Cole R. ,
  • 71', Cox S. , Wareham J. ,
  • 77', Garrity B. , Ojo F. ,
  • 78', Cole D. , Curtis R. ,
  • 79', Gordon L. 🟨,
  • 85', Turns E. , Wilson K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
26.1%
Draw
28.8%
Port Vale
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.1% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 27.6% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Vale's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Exeter City - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (2.78)
    3.47
    (3.32)
    2.19
    (2.42)
    -0.4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Exeter City - Port Vale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Exeter City will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Cole R. (Illness) McDonald K. (Injury) Swinkels S. (Knee Injury) Yfeko J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Port Vale were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Port Vale - Exeter City 2:4
    09.12.2023 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:1
    18.02.2023 Port Vale - Exeter City 1:0
    05.11.2022 Port Vale - Exeter City 2:3
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1252510:11-117
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Rotherham1242612:16-414
    17Wycombe1334615:16-113
    18Port Vale1334611:12-113
    19Exeter1341812:14-213
    20Plymouth1241717:21-413
    21Burton1233610:16-612
    22Reading1225513:18-511
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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