Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera B Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Round 10
Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
73
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Cacace J. 🟨,
  • 33', Cahais M. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Benavidez N. ,
  • 40', Peralta C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Zarco H. , Villagra J. ,
  • 46', Pata L. , Mateo F. ,
  • 52', Ferraro F. 🟨,
  • 53', Cairo F. , Diaz S. ,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Ferro L. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Lloyaiy A. (Own goal),
  • 68', Vera I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 71', Zabala F. , Ponton A. ,
  • 76', Diaz S. 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 77', Diaz S. 🟨,
  • 81', Ferro L. , Guallama F. ,
  • 81', Acosta A. , Mansilla T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Villa San Carlos
30.3%
Draw
30.8%
Excursionistas
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 29.2% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 30.3% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa San Carlos's form might have worsened.
  • Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excursionistas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excursionistas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.38)
    2.98
    (3.1)
    2.36
    (2.75)
    9%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa San Carlos won 2.
    • Villa San Carlos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Excursionistas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Villa San Carlos won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Villa San Carlos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas 2:2
    24.02.2024 Excursionistas - Villa San Carlos 1:0
    Latest results of Villa San Carlos
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland32104:137
    2Flandria32103:037
    3Villa San Carlos32105:327
    4Sportivo Italiano32014:316
    5Real Pilar31203:125
    6Deportivo Armenio31202:115
    7Laferrere41214:405
    8Brown Adrogue21103:124
    9Acassuso21103:214
    10Comunicaciones31114:404
    11Dock Sud31112:204
    12UAI Urquiza31112:204
    13Dep. Merlo41124:5-14
    14Argentino de Quilmes31113:4-14
    15Argentino de Merlo31024:5-13
    16Liniers31023:4-13
    17San Martin Burzaco20202:202
    18Sacachispas30213:4-12
    19Fenix30213:5-22
    20Excursionistas30032:6-40
    21Villa Dalmine30030:4-40

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

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