Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera B Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo
06/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Clausura - Round 12
Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Excursionistas
47.3%
Draw
29.3%
Deportivo Merlo
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 28.3% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 27.7% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.79)
    3.1
    (3.25)
    3.89
    (4.56)
    10.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Deportivo Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas 3:2
    14.09.2024 Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas 2:1
    26.04.2024 Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo 3:1
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland1062212:5720
    2Deportivo Armenio1146111:6518
    3Sacachispas1246214:10418
    4Brown Adrogue1053214:11318
    5Villa San Carlos1246213:11218
    6Real Pilar1145210:7317
    7Sportivo Italiano1144313:10316
    8Laferrere1044213:11216
    9Argentino de Quilmes1244417:17016
    10Acassuso1144315:15016
    11Comunicaciones1144313:13016
    12Flandria113627:5215
    13San Martin Burzaco1035212:8414
    14Excursionistas1032510:13-311
    15Argentino de Merlo1225511:16-511
    16Dep. Merlo1124510:14-410
    17Villa Dalmine112457:11-410
    18Dock Sud112456:11-510
    19Fenix111648:14-69
    20Liniers101548:11-38
    21UAI Urquiza101545:10-58

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

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