Deportivo Merlo vs Excursionistas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera B Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas
Result
3:2
20/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Round 12
Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
13
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Total shots
108
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Benega S. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Meza A. ,
  • 36', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
  • 36', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Peralta C. , Pata L. ,
  • 46', Mosca N. , Zarco H. ,
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Zarate J. ,
  • 62', Aguerre F. 🟨,
  • 73', Martinez M. , Alveira Garcilazo J. ,
  • 73', Meza A. , Casasola N. ,
  • 78', Arellano L. , Cabrera D. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez F. , Rapp A. ,
  • 79', Lopez M. , Sosa F. ,
  • 86', Benega S. 🟨,
  • 88', Benega S. , Lieve E. ,
  • 89', Perez S. 🟨,
  • 90', Mendez E. , Curima C. ,
  • 90', Zoratti G. , Villagra J. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Lieve E. ,
  • 90+6', Gauna I. 🟥,
  • 90+8', 3 - 2, Zarate J. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Merlo
38.7%
Draw
33.3%
Excursionistas
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 32.2% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31.1% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.29)
    2.76
    (2.88)
    3.29
    (3.39)
    8.9%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Merlo won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Deportivo Merlo will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Deportivo Merlo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Merlo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas 2:1
    26.04.2024 Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo 3:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flandria11002:023
    2Midland11002:023
    3Acassuso11002:113
    4Villa San Carlos11002:113
    5Argentino de Quilmes11002:113
    6Deportivo Armenio11001:013
    7Laferrere10101:101
    8Fenix10101:101
    9Sacachispas10101:101
    10San Martin Burzaco10101:101
    11UAI Urquiza10101:101
    12Real Pilar10101:101
    13Comunicaciones10100:001
    14Dock Sud10100:001
    15Brown Adrogue00000:000
    16Argentino de Merlo10011:2-10
    17Excursionistas10011:2-10
    18Liniers10011:2-10
    19Dep. Merlo10010:1-10
    20Sportivo Italiano10010:2-20
    21Villa Dalmine10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

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