Deportivo Merlo vs Excursionistas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera B Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas
Result
3:2
20/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Round 12
Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
13
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Total shots
108
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Benega S. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Meza A. ,
  • 36', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
  • 36', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Peralta C. , Pata L. ,
  • 46', Mosca N. , Zarco H. ,
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Zarate J. ,
  • 62', Aguerre F. 🟨,
  • 73', Martinez M. , Alveira Garcilazo J. ,
  • 73', Meza A. , Casasola N. ,
  • 78', Arellano L. , Cabrera D. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez F. , Rapp A. ,
  • 79', Lopez M. , Sosa F. ,
  • 86', Benega S. 🟨,
  • 88', Benega S. , Lieve E. ,
  • 89', Perez S. 🟨,
  • 90', Mendez E. , Curima C. ,
  • 90', Zoratti G. , Villagra J. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Lieve E. ,
  • 90+6', Gauna I. 🟥,
  • 90+8', 3 - 2, Zarate J. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Merlo
38.7%
Draw
33.3%
Excursionistas
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 32.2% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31.1% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.29)
    2.76
    (2.88)
    3.29
    (3.39)
    8.9%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Merlo won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Deportivo Merlo will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Deportivo Merlo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Merlo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas 2:1
    26.04.2024 Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo 3:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland18106222:51736
    2Real Pilar1896325:131233
    3Argentino de Merlo1995523:15832
    4Villa San Carlos1893624:22230
    5Dock Sud1877426:21528
    6Acassuso1877418:15328
    7Brown Adrogue1876518:15327
    8Excursionistas1775517:15226
    9Dep. Merlo1867515:15025
    10Liniers1773724:19524
    11Argentino de Quilmes1858519:19023
    12Villa Dalmine1858519:22-323
    13Comunicaciones1864817:17022
    14UAI Urquiza18410415:18-322
    15San Martin Burzaco1856715:22-721
    16Laferrere1848619:19020
    17Deportivo Armenio1747612:17-519
    18Flandria1847711:16-519
    19Sportivo Italiano1738611:13-217
    20Sacachispas1919911:24-1312
    21Fenix1816118:27-199

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

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