Estudiantes La Plata vs Defensa y Justicia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia
Result
1:0
22/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.19
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
87% (468/541)82% (311/377)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.750.34
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
188
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
614
Passes
87% (468/541)82% (311/377)
Long passes
59% (26/44)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
71% (98/138)57% (35/61)
Crosses
18% (5/28)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.31
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
146
Tackles
67% (16/24)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
2631
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.340.75
Goals prevented
0.340.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Palacios T. , Farias F. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez L. , Miranda M. ,
  • 56', Miritello J. B. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 62', Benedetti G. , Gomez R. ,
  • 62', Sosa J. , Perez Fabricio ,
  • 67', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 70', Piovi L. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Delgado R. (Own goal),
  • 78', Castro A. , Ascacibar S. ,
  • 80', Cannavo E. , Barbona D. ,
  • 90+1', Soto A. , Stefanelli N. ,
  • 90+1', Alario L. , Medina C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
37.2%
Draw
31.4%
Defensa y Justicia
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28.3% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 29.4% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.15)
    3.05
    (3.33)
    3.09
    (3.38)
    4.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.5%85.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Defensa y Justicia (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
    • Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Defensa y Justicia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of home games.
    • Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Cetre E. (Inactive) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Injury) Meza E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Ferreira L. (Inactive) Molinas A. (Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Reinatti J. (Inactive) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata 1:0
    28.09.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 1:0
    29.03.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata 1:0
    13.12.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 1:0
    05.11.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 2:1
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    2Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    3Barracas Central1145213:11217
    4Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    5Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    6Tigre1144310:8216
    7Huracan114436:8-216
    8Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    9Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1133510:12-212
    13Ind. Rivadavia1125410:12-211
    14Newells Old Boys112459:17-810
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1164116:7922
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo114439:8116
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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