Belgrano vs Estudiantes La Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata
Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)
Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.58
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
519
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
73% (247/337)85% (377/442)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.651.21
Total shots
519
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
213
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
69
Passes
73% (247/337)85% (377/442)
Long passes
44% (28/63)50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
53% (39/73)75% (87/116)
Crosses
6% (1/16)40% (10/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.151.71
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
96
Tackles
81% (21/26)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.210.65
Goals prevented
1.21-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Jara F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ostchega T. , Baldi A. ,
  • 56', Perez Fabricio , Castro A. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. , Compagnucci G. (A),
  • 74', Sanchez U. , Heredia G. ,
  • 75', Amondarain M. , Gabriel Neves ,
  • 76', Palacios T. , Farias F. ,
  • 76', Medina C. , Cetre E. ,
  • 86', Fernandez N. , Passerini L. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez F. , Menossi L. ,
  • 90+1', Mavilla J. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 90+1', Arzamendia S. , Sosa J. ,
  • 90+3', Heredia G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Compagnucci G. (Own goal),
  • 90+7', Menossi L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
36.5%
Draw
32%
Estudiantes La Plata
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 31.2% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 30.4% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.33)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    3
    (3.23)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.6%86.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.
    • Belgrano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Estudiantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Heredia G. (Inactive) Ricca F. (Muscle Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Benedetti G. (Knee Injury) Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano 0:1
    09.12.2024 Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata 2:2
    28.01.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano 1:0
    17.08.2023 Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    22.07.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano 4:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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