Estudiantes La Plata vs Barracas Central: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.71
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
84% (348/415)69% (172/249)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.81
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (348/415)69% (172/249)
Long passes
49% (19/39)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
71% (82/115)57% (45/79)
Crosses
35% (7/20)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.14
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1311
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3644
Clearances
2415
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.810.93
Goals prevented
-0.19-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Carrillo G. ,
  • 35', Mater F. , Bruera F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Candia J. ,
  • 49', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 53', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 63', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 64', Gomez R. , Meza E. ,
  • 64', Castro A. , Farias F. ,
  • 64', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 80', Tapia I. , Rak Y. ,
  • 85', Tobio F. 🟨,
  • 89', Medina C. , Alario L. ,
  • 90+4', Barrios R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Miloc D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cetre E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Candia J. , Capraro N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
58.5%
Draw
26.5%
Barracas Central
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 27.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 29.5% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.
  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.82)
    3.57
    (3.35)
    6.45
    (4.55)
    5.7%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central?
  • Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 92.08%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
    • Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barracas Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Insua R. (Inactive) Lopez L. (Ankle Injury) Pianovi F. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    25.10.2024 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    20.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 3:0
    02.06.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 5:2
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    4Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    5Barracas Central1145213:11217
    6Tigre1245311:9217
    7Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    8Huracan114436:8-216
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1133510:12-212
    13Ind. Rivadavia1125410:12-211
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1164116:7922
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    9Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    10Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    11Instituto112635:11-612
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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