Dunfermline Athletic vs Kilmarnock: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish League Cup Dunfermline Athletic - Kilmarnock
Result
0:2
22/07/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SCOTLAND: LEAGUE CUP
Dunfermline Athletic - Kilmarnock - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Dunfermline Athletic
27.8%
Draw
27.7%
Kilmarnock
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 24.2% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 24.3% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunfermline Athletic's performance.
  • Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kilmarnock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunfermline Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kilmarnock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dunfermline Athletic - Kilmarnock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (4.33)
    3.3
    (3.77)
    2.07
    (1.67)
    9.2%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Dunfermline Athletic - Kilmarnock?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dunfermline will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dunfermline: 53.8%96.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 0.
    • Dunfermline is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Kilmarnock is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Dunfermline could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Kilmarnock will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dunfermline won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
    Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic
    Latest results of Kilmarnock
    08.07.2023 Linfield - Kilmarnock 1:0
    04.07.2023 Glentoran - Kilmarnock 1:0
    28.05.2023 Kilmarnock - Ross County 3:1
    24.05.2023 Dundee United - Kilmarnock 0:3
    Scottish League Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Falkirk4310014:111
    2Cove Rangers420115:27
    3Queen's Park420029:66
    4Spartans420024:66
    5Brechin400040:170


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Partick Thistle4400011:212
    2Ross County4201111:47
    3Stranraer411112:36
    4Queen of South410034:43
    5Edinburgh City401031:162


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Alloa440007:312
    2Airdrieonians430018:49
    3Dundee FC420028:36
    4Montrose410036:103
    5Bonnyrigg Rose400042:110


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Mirren4301012:410
    2Ayr4300114:39
    3Arbroath411026:55
    4Forfar Athletic411023:65
    5Annan400134:211


    Group E
    PlWWLLPts
    1Hearts4400016:112
    2Dunfermline430019:59
    3Dumbarton420022:86
    4Hamilton410033:73
    5Stirling400040:90


    Group F
    PlWWLLPts
    1St Johnstone4400015:212
    2Raith4200213:96
    3Inverness420029:86
    4East Kilbride4200211:126
    5Elgin City400042:190


    Group G
    PlWWLLPts
    1Motherwell431008:311
    2Morton4300110:59
    3Clyde411116:86
    4Stenhousemuir410123:64
    5Peterhead400044:90


    Group H
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kilmarnock430107:010
    2Livingston4300110:29
    3East Fife420025:66
    4Kelty Hearts411024:75
    5Brora Rangers400040:110


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ayr4300114:39
    2Livingston4300110:29
    3Morton4300110:59
    4Dunfermline430019:59
    5Airdrieonians430018:49
    6Ross County4201111:47
    7Cove Rangers420115:27
    8Raith4200213:96

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