Result
3:3
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Challenge Cup - Round 4
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 3)
- 20', 1 - 0, Honeyman S. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Arnott A. (Pen),
- 26', 1 - 2, Cole R. ⚽, Johnston C. (A),
- 36', 1 - 3, Arnott A. (Pen),
- 39', 2 - 3, Arnott A. (Own goal),
- 45+1', 3 - 3, Wallace T. ⚽, Honeyman S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Dumbarton
37.8% | Draw
26.3% | Kelty Hearts
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dumbarton's form might have worsened.Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumbarton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kelty Hearts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.07) |
3.61 ↓
(3.65) |
2.62 ↓
(2.94) |
4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Dumbarton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kelty Hearts has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Kelty Hearts has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Dumbarton won against Kelty Hearts?
Dumbarton has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kelty Hearts won against Dumbarton?
Kelty Hearts has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts were as follows:
05.04.2025
Kelty Hearts
-
Dumbarton
0:6
28.12.2024
Dumbarton
-
Kelty Hearts
2:0
09.11.2024
Kelty Hearts
-
Dumbarton
2:0
31.08.2024
Dumbarton
-
Kelty Hearts
2:2
09.09.2023
Dumbarton
-
Kelty Hearts
1:3
Latest results of Dumbarton
Latest results of Kelty Hearts
Scottish Challenge Cup Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inverness ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Montrose ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | East Fife | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Stranraer | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Clyde | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Spartans | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Hamilton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Elgin City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Alloa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Queen of South | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 20 | Annan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 21 | St. Mirren B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | Stirling | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 | Dundee Utd B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 | Hearts B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 25 | Hibernian B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 26 | Motherwell B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 27 | Rangers B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 0 |
| 28 | Aberdeen B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:16 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inverness is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Stenhousemuir is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Montrose is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
