Cardiff City vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Cardiff City - Derby County
Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
Cardiff City - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.781.23
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
179
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
510
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
57
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
22
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
2329
Touches in the Opposition Box
2414
Passes
65% (192/297)66% (212/323)
Passes in the final third
52% (49/95)49% (49/101)
Crosses
25% (3/12)25% (6/24)
Tackles
53% (8/15)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
2711
Interceptions
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+4', Chambers C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Willock C. , El Ghazi A. ,
  • 58', Blackett-Taylor C. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 59', Ng P. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Robinson C. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, El Ghazi A. , Robinson C. (A),
  • 67', Robertson A. , Salech Y. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. , Yates J. (A),
  • 75', Elder C. 🟨,
  • 77', Elder C. , Harness M. ,
  • 84', Robinson C. , Fish W. ,
  • 84', Ashford C. , Meite Y. ,
  • 86', Goudmijn K. , Ozoh D. ,
  • 86', Osborn B. , Jackson K. ,
  • 86', Yates J. , Barkhuizen T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City 45.5%Draw 30.2%Derby County 24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Cardiff City 42.5%Draw 28.3%Derby County 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Cardiff City 43.2%Draw 27.8%Derby County 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Cardiff City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.2)
    3.17
    (3.3)
    3.93
    (3.2)
    4.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Derby County?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3.
    • Cardiff is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cardiff will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Leg Injury) O'Dowda C. (Muscle Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Reindorf M. (Ankle Injury) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Nyambe R. (Knee Injury) Ozoh D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Wilson K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Derby County were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Derby County - Cardiff City 1:0
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Derby County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Cardiff City - Derby County?
    It is being streamed on channel
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