Vélez Sársfield vs Deportivo Riestra: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra
Result
0:1
28/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.41
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
81% (461/566)46% (80/175)
Yellow Cards
27
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.730.72
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
215
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
209
Passes
81% (461/566)46% (80/175)
Long passes
55% (37/67)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
71% (144/203)39% (28/72)
Crosses
11% (4/35)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.31
Fouls
920
Tackles
61% (14/23)86% (19/22)
Duels won
7058
Clearances Total
1045
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.720.73
Goals prevented
-0.280.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Herrera J. , Alonso A. (A),
  • 22', Ramirez P. 🟨,
  • 40', Arce I. 🟨,
  • 43', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 45', Alonso A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pizzini F. , Santos M. ,
  • 58', Alonso A. , Sayavedra R. ,
  • 63', Montoro A. , Machuca I. ,
  • 63', Baeza C. , Ordonez C. ,
  • 67', Randazzo J. 🟨,
  • 72', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
  • 73', Herrera J. , Diaz A. ,
  • 73', Mino F. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 84', Gordon J. , Lagos A. ,
  • 84', Benegas N. , Guille B. ,
  • 85', Goitia J. , Ortiz S. ,
  • 86', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 90+1', Guille B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bracamonte M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
48.3%
Draw
31.3%
Deportivo Riestra
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 31.1% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 31% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.96)
    3
    (3.03)
    4.63
    (4.56)
    6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra?
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield will win (97 of 102 users predict this - 95.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 90.91%99.29%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Vélez is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
    11.11.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    15.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:2
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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