Vélez Sársfield vs Deportivo Riestra: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra
Result
0:1
28/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.41
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
81% (461/566)46% (80/175)
Yellow Cards
27
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.730.72
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
215
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
209
Passes
81% (461/566)46% (80/175)
Long passes
55% (37/67)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
71% (144/203)39% (28/72)
Crosses
11% (4/35)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.31
Fouls
920
Tackles
61% (14/23)86% (19/22)
Duels won
7058
Clearances Total
1045
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.720.73
Goals prevented
-0.280.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Herrera J. , Alonso A. (A),
  • 22', Ramirez P. 🟨,
  • 40', Arce I. 🟨,
  • 43', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 45', Alonso A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pizzini F. , Santos M. ,
  • 58', Alonso A. , Sayavedra R. ,
  • 63', Montoro A. , Machuca I. ,
  • 63', Baeza C. , Ordonez C. ,
  • 67', Randazzo J. 🟨,
  • 72', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
  • 73', Herrera J. , Diaz A. ,
  • 73', Mino F. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 84', Gordon J. , Lagos A. ,
  • 84', Benegas N. , Guille B. ,
  • 85', Goitia J. , Ortiz S. ,
  • 86', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 90+1', Guille B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bracamonte M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
48.3%
Draw
31.3%
Deportivo Riestra
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 31.1% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 31% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.96)
    3
    (3.03)
    4.63
    (4.56)
    6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra?
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield will win (97 of 102 users predict this - 95.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 90.91%99.29%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Vélez is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
    11.11.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    15.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:2
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central63219:7211
    2Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    3Estudiantes L.P53027:619
    4Huracan53024:5-19
    5Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    6Belgrano52215:238
    7Tigre62226:608
    8Central Cordoba51405:417
    9Banfield52127:8-17
    10Boca Juniors51315:326
    11Newells Old Boys61325:6-16
    12Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club51133:5-24
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate532011:3811
    2San Lorenzo63215:3211
    3Rosario Central62404:2210
    4Atl. Tucuman62318:539
    5Lanus53025:329
    6Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    7San Martin S.J62225:508
    8Dep. Riestra52125:507
    9Gimnasia L.P62134:5-17
    10Sarmiento Junin51315:6-16
    11Platense51314:5-16
    12Talleres Cordoba61233:7-45
    13Instituto61232:10-85
    14Godoy Cruz50324:7-33
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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