Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sársfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield
Result
2:2
06/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.32
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
52% (111/214)79% (442/558)
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.000.67
Total shots
107
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
914
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1121
Passes
52% (111/214)79% (442/558)
Long passes
45% (34/75)41% (32/78)
Passes in final third
32% (30/94)58% (78/134)
Crosses
10% (1/10)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.62
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
2111
Tackles
54% (13/24)50% (5/10)
Duels won
6454
Clearances
3323
Interceptions
2112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.671.00
Goals prevented
-0.33-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Lagos A. 🟨,
  • 6', Monje P. 🟨,
  • 26', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 34', Diaz A. 🟨,
  • 34', Magallan L. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Diaz A. , Monje P. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Magallan L. , Pellegrini M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Herrera J. , Monje P. (A),
  • 57', Mino F. 🟨,
  • 61', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 64', Lagos A. , Lanzini M. ,
  • 65', Galvan T. , Valdes D. ,
  • 66', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
  • 73', Herrera J. , Benegas N. ,
  • 73', Diaz A. , Obredor G. ,
  • 79', Baeza C. , Monzon F. ,
  • 80', Alonso A. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Ramirez P. (Own goal),
  • 90', Braian Romero , Santos M. ,
  • 90+1', Pizzini F. , Silvero T. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Riestra
29.9%
Draw
34.4%
Vélez Sársfield
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 30.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 29.5% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Riestra's form might have worsened.
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Riestra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.44)
    2.74
    (3.1)
    2.61
    (3)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Deportivo Riestra is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Vélez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Ankle Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Andrada T. (International duty) Bouzat A. (Yellow Cards) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Lanzini M. (Inactive) Machuca I. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Bouzat A. (Injury) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra 0:1
    11.11.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    15.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:2
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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