Deportivo Merlo vs UAI Urquiza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera B Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza
Result
1:2
29/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Clausura - Round 15
Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
50
Total shots
00
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Brito M. ,
  • 12', Pajon M. 🟨,
  • 24', Brito M. 🟨,
  • 25', Brito M. , Caceres P. ,
  • 28', Arcuri L. 🟨,
  • 44', Ordano A. 🟨,
  • 44', Alaniz M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Arellano L. , Sosa S. ,
  • 46', Ferreyra F. , Curima C. ,
  • 46', Benega S. , Quinteros E. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Arcuri L. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Zeineddin N. ,
  • 73', Arcuri L. , Rios N. ,
  • 73', Caceres P. , Ismael Aguirre G. M. ,
  • 75', Quinteros E. 🟨,
  • 78', Perez S. , Meza A. ,
  • 84', Sciacqua S. , Scarcella R. ,
  • 84', Ingratti J. , Vazquez A. ,
  • 86', Ordano A. , Benitez B. ,
  • 90+6', Fernandez P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Curima C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Ojeda G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Merlo
38.3%
Draw
36.3%
UAI Urquiza
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 30% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 25.2% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Merlo's form might have worsened.
  • UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UAI Urquiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.05)
    2.67
    (3)
    3.82
    (3.45)
    3.2%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 21).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Deportivo Merlo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza were as follows:
    10.05.2025 UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo 1:1
    24.08.2024 UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo 0:0
    06.04.2024 Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza 1:1
    12.06.2023 Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza 1:0
    11.02.2023 UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo 2:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Latest results of UAI Urquiza
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland1795319:81132
    2Real Pilar1787219:91031
    3Deportivo Armenio1687120:11931
    4Flandria1769214:7727
    5Sportivo Italiano1775519:15426
    6Laferrere1667319:15425
    7San Martin Burzaco1766523:17624
    8Comunicaciones1766517:18-124
    9Villa San Carlos1758420:17323
    10Sacachispas1858519:17223
    11Argentino de Merlo1865723:22123
    12Brown Adrogue1757518:18022
    13Villa Dalmine1764714:18-422
    14Excursionistas1663720:20021
    15Acassuso1755721:24-320
    16Liniers1755718:23-520
    17Argentino de Quilmes1746721:25-418
    18UAI Urquiza163678:20-1215
    19Dep. Merlo1828814:22-814
    20Dock Sud172879:19-1014
    21Fenix1727813:23-1013

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

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