Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera B Deportivo Merlo - Brown de Adrogué
Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 18:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Round 10
Deportivo Merlo - Brown de Adrogué - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
79
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
94
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sproat M. ,
  • 42', Ordano A. 🟥,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 45+5', Guerrero B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Vivas G. , Bogado J. ,
  • 71', Canete J. , Meaurio N. ,
  • 85', Sproat M. , Lopez B. ,
  • 85', Enrique F. , Castano A. ,
  • 86', Campana L. , Aguirre C. ,
  • 90+3', Castano A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Lopez B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Merlo
39.7%
Draw
31.9%
Brown de Adrogué
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 30.9% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 29.7% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Merlo's form might have worsened.
  • Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brown de Adrogué's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brown de Adrogué, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Merlo - Brown de Adrogué Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.02)
    2.88
    (3)
    3.24
    (4.02)
    8.8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 11).
    • Deportivo Merlo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Brown de Adrogué is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Deportivo Merlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Deportivo Merlo will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Merlo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.7:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Merlo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Latest results of Brown de Adrogué
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland18106222:51736
    2Real Pilar1896325:131233
    3Argentino de Merlo1995523:15832
    4Villa San Carlos1893624:22230
    5Dock Sud1877426:21528
    6Acassuso1877418:15328
    7Brown Adrogue1876518:15327
    8Excursionistas1775517:15226
    9Dep. Merlo1867515:15025
    10Liniers1773724:19524
    11Argentino de Quilmes1858519:19023
    12Villa Dalmine1858519:22-323
    13Comunicaciones1864817:17022
    14UAI Urquiza18410415:18-322
    15San Martin Burzaco1856715:22-721
    16Laferrere1848619:19020
    17Deportivo Armenio1747612:17-519
    18Flandria1847711:16-519
    19Sportivo Italiano1738611:13-217
    20Sacachispas1919911:24-1312
    21Fenix1816118:27-199

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

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