Deportivo Madryn vs Quilmes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes
Result
3:1
30/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 20
  • Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)
Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Perez B. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Crego D. ,
  • 45', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 45', Solis N. 🟨,
  • 45', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Recalde F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Juarez M. , Allende L. ,
  • 46', Santiago M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 46', Benzi T. , Capano J. ,
  • 65', Silba L. , Mana N. ,
  • 65', Solis N. , Montagna E. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ,
  • 73', Capano J. 🟨,
  • 75', Rivero G. , Ayala E. ,
  • 75', Perez B. , Bustos A. ,
  • 80', Roseti M. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Mana N. ,
  • 86', Perez F. , Kalinski E. ,
  • 86', Bindella A. , Schultz E. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90', Crego D. , Juncos B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Madryn
55.2%
Draw
30.4%
Quilmes
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 29.5% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 28.6% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.71)
    3.05
    (3.16)
    6.27
    (5.78)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Deportivo Madryn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Deportivo Madryn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 1:1
    05.08.2023 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 0:0
    03.04.2023 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:0
    07.09.2022 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:1
    03.09.2022 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
    Latest results of Quilmes
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    19.07.2025 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 3:1
    12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0
    05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez
    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes?
    It is being streamed on channel
    argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play
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