Deportivo Madryn vs Quilmes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes
Result
3:1
30/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 20
  • Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)
Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Perez B. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Crego D. ,
  • 45', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 45', Solis N. 🟨,
  • 45', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Recalde F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Juarez M. , Allende L. ,
  • 46', Santiago M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 46', Benzi T. , Capano J. ,
  • 65', Silba L. , Mana N. ,
  • 65', Solis N. , Montagna E. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ,
  • 73', Capano J. 🟨,
  • 75', Rivero G. , Ayala E. ,
  • 75', Perez B. , Bustos A. ,
  • 80', Roseti M. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Mana N. ,
  • 86', Perez F. , Kalinski E. ,
  • 86', Bindella A. , Schultz E. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90', Crego D. , Juncos B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Madryn
55.2%
Draw
30.4%
Quilmes
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 29.5% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 28.6% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.71)
    3.05
    (3.16)
    6.27
    (5.78)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Deportivo Madryn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Deportivo Madryn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 1:1
    05.08.2023 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 0:0
    03.04.2023 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:0
    07.09.2022 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:1
    03.09.2022 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
    Latest results of Quilmes
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    19.07.2025 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 3:1
    12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0
    05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn291311541:261550
    2Atletico Atlanta291212527:19848
    3Tristan Suarez291014526:19744
    4San Miguel291111728:24444
    5San Martin T291111725:23244
    6Gimnasia y Tiro291110826:17943
    7Patronato291110829:24543
    8Deportivo Maipu291010928:27140
    9Los Andes299101027:25237
    10Quilmes298111029:29035
    11Racing Cordoba298111034:38-435
    12All Boys29713922:24-234
    13Colegiales29971317:23-634
    14Almagro297121023:27-433
    15Ferro297101219:31-1231
    16Club A. Guemes29515925:31-630
    17Arsenal Sarandi29791331:40-930
    18Alvarado295131117:27-1028


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy291412332:131954
    2Gimnasia Mendoza291411430:151553
    3Deportivo Moron291311531:171450
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto291311530:181250
    5Chacarita Juniors291211635:231247
    6Chaco For Ever291451031:24747
    7CA Estudiantes29137931:201146
    8Temperley291112624:19545
    9Agropecuario29119935:33242
    10Def. de Belgrano29911924:23138
    11CA Mitre29991124:24036
    12San Telmo298111025:34-935
    13Nueva Chicago298101125:28-334
    14Central Norte29961423:31-833
    15Colon Santa Fe29841721:35-1428
    16Almirante Brown295111322:34-1226
    17Defensores Unidos293101617:47-3019
    18Talleres (R.E)29452013:35-2217

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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