Deportivo Madryn vs Quilmes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes
Result
3:1
30/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 20
  • Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)
Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Perez B. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Crego D. ,
  • 45', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 45', Solis N. 🟨,
  • 45', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Recalde F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Juarez M. , Allende L. ,
  • 46', Santiago M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 46', Benzi T. , Capano J. ,
  • 65', Silba L. , Mana N. ,
  • 65', Solis N. , Montagna E. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ,
  • 73', Capano J. 🟨,
  • 75', Rivero G. , Ayala E. ,
  • 75', Perez B. , Bustos A. ,
  • 80', Roseti M. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Mana N. ,
  • 86', Perez F. , Kalinski E. ,
  • 86', Bindella A. , Schultz E. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90', Crego D. , Juncos B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Madryn
55.2%
Draw
30.4%
Quilmes
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 29.5% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 28.6% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.71)
    3.05
    (3.16)
    6.27
    (5.78)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Deportivo Madryn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Deportivo Madryn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 1:1
    05.08.2023 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 0:0
    03.04.2023 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:0
    07.09.2022 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:1
    03.09.2022 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
    Latest results of Quilmes
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    19.07.2025 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 3:1
    12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0
    05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn321512543:261757
    2Atletico Atlanta321412629:23654
    3San Miguel ✔ 321213730:25549
    4Gimnasia y Tiro321211930:201047
    5Patronato321211930:25547
    6San Martin T321211929:26347
    7Tristan Suarez321016628:22646
    8Deportivo Maipu321112930:28245
    9Colegiales321181323:25-241
    10Racing Cordoba3210111136:39-341
    11Los Andes3210101228:27140
    12Quilmes328131129:30-137
    13All Boys32716923:25-237
    14Ferro328111320:32-1235
    15Club A. Guemes326161026:32-634
    16Almagro327131224:30-634
    17Alvarado326141218:28-1032
    18Arsenal Sarandi327101532:45-1331


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza321611533:171659
    2Estudiantes Rio Cuarto321511632:201256
    3CA Estudiantes32167939:211855
    4Gimnasia Jujuy321412632:171554
    5Deportivo Moron321412632:181454
    6Chaco For Ever321571033:24952
    7Agropecuario32149941:33851
    8Temperley321312727:22551
    9Chacarita Juniors321212836:261048
    10Def. de Belgrano321112928:25345
    11CA Mitre321091327:27039
    12Nueva Chicago329111226:30-438
    13San Telmo329111228:38-1038
    14Central Norte321061626:37-1136
    15Almirante Brown327111425:36-1132
    16Colon Santa Fe32851921:38-1729
    17Talleres (R.E) ✔ 32552215:38-2320
    18Defensores Unidos ✔ 323111817:51-3420

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
    Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes?
    It is being streamed on channel
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