Result
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)
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Chances of winning
Alvarado
32.2% | Draw
33.3% | Deportivo Madryn
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.26) |
2.79 ↓
(2.9) |
2.68 ↓
(3.41) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
The most likely score is 0:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3.
- Alvarado is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Deportivo Madryn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Deportivo Madryn?
Alvarado has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Alvarado?
Deportivo Madryn has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 23 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Quilmes | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Almagro | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Los Andes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Racing Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Patronato | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ferro | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5:7 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportivo Madryn | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | All Boys | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 16 | Alvarado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 17 | Club A. Guemes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Def. de Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Chacarita Juniors | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 | Agropecuario | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Temperley | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | CA Mitre | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 8:7 | 1 | 16 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2:14 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
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Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
It is being streamed on channel
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 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
