Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Rivero G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Solis N. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
- 59', Susvielles J. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
- 60', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
- 64', Werro V. 🟨,
- 66', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Minissale P. ↑,
- 68', Aleo A. 🟥,
- 71', 0 - 2, Perez B. (Pen),
- 78', Rivero G. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 84', Bergara M. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
- 90', Perez B. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
- 90', Crego D. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
31.5% | Draw
33.6% | Deportivo Madryn
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.26) |
2.76 ↓
(2.9) |
2.68 ↓
(3.41) |
7.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarado: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3.
- Alvarado is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Deportivo Madryn?
Alvarado has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Alvarado?
Deportivo Madryn has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | Patronato | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 34 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 20:14 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Tristan Suarez | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 12 | Almagro | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13:19 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 16 | All Boys | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 23 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 30:17 | 13 | 40 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 39 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
| 6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 30 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 20:24 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 7:28 | -21 | 8 |
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Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
