Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Rivero G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Solis N. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
- 59', Susvielles J. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
- 60', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
- 64', Werro V. 🟨,
- 66', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Minissale P. ↑,
- 68', Aleo A. 🟥,
- 71', 0 - 2, Perez B. (Pen),
- 78', Rivero G. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 84', Bergara M. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
- 90', Perez B. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
- 90', Crego D. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
31.5% | Draw
33.6% | Deportivo Madryn
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.26) |
2.76 ↓
(2.9) |
2.68 ↓
(3.41) |
7.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarado: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3.
- Alvarado is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Deportivo Madryn?
Alvarado has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Alvarado?
Deportivo Madryn has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 41:26 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 48 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 44 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | San Martin T | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 25:23 | 2 | 44 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 26:17 | 9 | 43 |
| 7 | Patronato | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 40 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 37 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | All Boys | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 17:23 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Almagro | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Ferro | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 19:31 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 25:31 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 17:27 | -10 | 28 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 54 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 30:15 | 15 | 53 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 50 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 50 |
| 5 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 31:20 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Temperley | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 45 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 24:23 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 24:24 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 34 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 23:31 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 21:35 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 22:34 | -12 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 17:47 | -30 | 19 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 13:35 | -22 | 17 |
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Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
