Deportivo Macará vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

: Liga Pro - Round 22
Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.42
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
15	18
Shots on target
6	10
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
77% (247/319)	78% (275/352)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.52	2.83
Total shots
15	18
Shots on target
6	10
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
7	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
18	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
15	13
Passes
77% (247/319)	78% (275/352)
Long passes
55% (31/56)	41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
63% (73/115)	57% (43/76)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.57
Throw-ins
13	19
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
71% (12/17)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
49	49
Clearances
13	14
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
xGOT faced
2.83	0.52
Goals prevented
-1.17	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Londono A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Blanc G. ⚽, Espinoza T. (A),
28', Blanc G. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
39', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Palacios B. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Paz F. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
57', 1 - 3, Palacios B. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
59', 1 - 4, Londono A. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
63', Blanc G. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
63', Juambeltz M. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
64', Londono A. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
70', Anangono G. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
81', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
82', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
82', Morales J. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
83', Palacios B. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Deportivo Macará
29.7%

Draw
28.5%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

29.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.95)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)	2.24 ↓ (2.4)	7.7% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 50%). Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Deportivo Macará?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:

06.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará 1:0

30.11.2024 Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2

02.06.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará 3:0

Latest results of Deportivo Macará

20.07.2025 Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará 1:0 ✺

11.07.2025 Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

06.07.2025 SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará 1:4 ✺

29.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

19.07.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto 3:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 4:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

25.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
7	Libertad	26	11	8	7	40:34	6	41
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	26	6	10	10	25:40	-15	28
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz