Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito).

: Liga Pro - Round 7
Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	0.19
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
86% (374/434)	82% (310/379)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	0.19
xG on target (xGOT)
3.20	0.04
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
7	1
Shots outside the Box
9	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
18	8
Offsides
0	7
Free Kicks
17	8
Passes
86% (374/434)	82% (310/379)
Long passes
54% (28/52)	44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
73% (74/102)	68% (67/99)
Crosses
41% (7/17)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.27
Fouls
8	17
Tackles
33% (3/9)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
42	32
Clearances Total
16	17
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.04	3.20
Goals prevented
0.04	-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Cazares ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
30', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
32', Lopez A. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Cazares (A),
39', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
40', Rabanal J. 🟨,
45', Gustavino L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Morocho S. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
46', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Nazareno B. ↑,
46', Lopez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
52', Carabajal M. 🟨,
57', Rodriguez A. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Mercado P. ⚽, Cazares (A),
64', 4 - 0, Hoyos M. (Pen),
65', Rodriguez A. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
69', Fernandez M. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
69', Arroyo J. P. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
69', Mercado P. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
76', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
82', Mancinelli L. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
88', Venezia A. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Independiente del Valle
64.4%

Draw
22.4%

Deportivo Cuenca
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

19.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)	4.12 ↓ (4.52)	7.01 ↓ (7.39)	8.1% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind del Valle won 4.
Recent matches Ind del Valle is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Deportivo Cuenca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Deportivo Cuenca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ind del Valle is certain favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind del Valle won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 30:21 (average 1.5:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Deportivo Cuenca?

Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Independiente del Valle?

Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:

31.01.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle 1:0

25.10.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle 0:2

05.05.2024 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0

28.10.2023 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca 2:0

20.05.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle 1:2

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

01.04.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 0:4 ✺

02.03.2025 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca

29.03.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito 1:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca 0:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Cuenca 3:1 ✺

21.02.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas 2:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona SC	10	8	0	2	16:11	5	24
2	Ind. del Valle	11	6	3	2	21:10	11	21
3	Vinotinto	11	5	3	3	19:12	7	18
4	Aucas	11	5	3	3	17:13	4	18
5	Libertad	11	5	3	3	18:16	2	18
6	LDU Quito	10	4	4	2	16:8	8	16
7	U. Catolica	11	4	4	3	18:12	6	16
8	Dep. Cuenca	11	5	1	5	9:11	-2	16
9	Mushuc Runa	11	4	3	4	15:14	1	15
10	Orense	11	4	2	5	10:16	-6	14
11	Emelec	11	3	4	4	8:13	-5	13
12	Macara	11	2	4	5	8:11	-3	10
13	Tecnico U	11	2	4	5	10:16	-6	10
14	Manta	11	2	4	5	14:21	-7	10
15	EL Nacional	11	2	3	6	13:17	-4	9
16	Delfin	11	1	5	5	7:18	-11	8

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz