Result
4:0
05/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 7
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (374/434) | 82% (310/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (374/434) | 82% (310/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 44% (17/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 68% (67/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 3.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Cazares ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
- 30', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 32', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Cazares (A),
- 39', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 40', Rabanal J. 🟨,
- 45', Gustavino L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Morocho S. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
- 46', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Nazareno B. ↑,
- 46', Lopez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
- 52', Carabajal M. 🟨,
- 57', Rodriguez A. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, Mercado P. ⚽, Cazares (A),
- 64', 4 - 0, Hoyos M. (Pen),
- 65', Rodriguez A. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
- 69', Fernandez M. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
- 69', Arroyo J. P. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 69', Mercado P. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
- 76', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 82', Mancinelli L. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
- 88', Venezia A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
64.4% | Draw
22.4% | Deportivo Cuenca
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.39) |
4.12 ↓
(4.52) |
7.01 ↓
(7.39) |
8.1%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind del Valle won 4.
- Recent matches Ind del Valle is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Deportivo Cuenca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Deportivo Cuenca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Ind del Valle is certain favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind del Valle won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 30:21 (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Independiente del Valle?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
31.01.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
25.10.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
0:2
05.05.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:0
28.10.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:0
20.05.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
1:2
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | Orense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 6 | Aucas | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Delfin | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:23 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Libertad | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Vinotinto | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Manta | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 | Macara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Emelec | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 15 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
