Deportivo Alavés vs Sevilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 5
Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.48
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
78% (306/394)80% (338/421)
Yellow Cards
17
Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.64
Total shots
89
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1322
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1920
Passes
78% (306/394)80% (338/421)
Long passes
42% (25/59)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
60% (73/121)57% (57/100)
Crosses
24% (4/17)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.77
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
2019
Tackles
67% (14/21)74% (14/19)
Duels won
6168
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.641.06
Goals prevented
-0.360.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Vargas R. ,
  • 14', Gonzalez A. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Vicente C. (Pen),
  • 39', Vargas R. 🟨,
  • 44', Nianzou T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Guridi J. , Martinez T. ,
  • 58', Alena C. , Ibanez P. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Sanchez A. , Carmona J. A. (A),
  • 71', Boye L. , Diaz M. ,
  • 72', Diarra M. , Yusi ,
  • 72', Suarez D. , Rebbach A. ,
  • 75', Nianzou T. , Gudelj N. ,
  • 75', Vargas R. , Adams A. ,
  • 77', Mendy B. 🟨,
  • 84', Suazo G. 🟨,
  • 85', Vlachodimos O. 🟨,
  • 86', Carmona J. A. , Sanchez J. ,
  • 86', Romero I. , Peque ,
  • 89', Blanco A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Peque 🟨,
  • 90+7', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Alavés
34.9%
Draw
32.4%
Sevilla
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 30.1% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 30.6% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.5)
    3.1
    (3.17)
    2.97
    (3.01)
    0%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). Sevilla will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 39%74.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Alavés will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sevilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Joan Jordan (Back Injury) Martinez R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés 1:1
    20.09.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla 2:1
    12.01.2024 Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés 2:3
    21.08.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla 4:3
    17.01.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla 0:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Latest results of Sevilla
    12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2
    30.08.2025 Girona - Sevilla 0:2
    25.08.2025 Sevilla - Getafe 1:2
    17.08.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla 3:2
    10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid760116:8818
    2Barcelona651019:41516
    3Villarreal641112:5713
    4Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    5Espanyol733110:9112
    6Getafe73228:9-111
    7Elche62408:5310
    8Ath Bilbao63127:7010
    9Betis62319:729
    10Alaves62226:608
    11Valencia62228:10-28
    12Sevilla621310:1007
    13Osasuna62135:507
    14Rayo Vallecano61237:9-25
    15Celta Vigo60515:7-25
    16Levante712411:14-35
    17Real Sociedad61236:9-35
    18R. Oviedo61052:11-93
    19Girona70343:16-133
    20Mallorca60245:11-62

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla?
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