Deportivo Alavés vs Elche: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Deportivo Alavés - Elche
Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)
Deportivo Alavés - Elche - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.39
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
256
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
144
Passes
83% (329/396)87% (398/458)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.650.20
Total shots
256
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
122
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
144
Touches in opposition box
4610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
913
Passes
83% (329/396)87% (398/458)
Long passes
47% (16/34)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
67% (89/132)76% (93/122)
Crosses
27% (8/30)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.51
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
139
Tackles
47% (9/19)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
1747
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.202.65
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Pacheco J. 🟨,
  • 37', Calebe , Vicente C. ,
  • 39', Blanco A. 🟨,
  • 40', Diangana G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Diangana G. , Neto M. ,
  • 69', Mir R. , Andre Silva ,
  • 72', Blanco A. , Suarez D. ,
  • 72', Ibanez P. , Guevara A. ,
  • 72', Rebbach A. , Alena C. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Vicente C. (Pen),
  • 79', Affengruber D. 🟥,
  • 80', Aguado M. , Donald J. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Martinez T. , Alena C. (A),
  • 85', Neto M. , Boayar A. ,
  • 85', Rodriguez A. , Petrot L. ,
  • 85', Martinez T. , Parada V. ,
  • 89', Jonny Otto 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Andre Silva , Valera G. (A),
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Boye L. , Alena C. (A),

Chances of winning


Deportivo Alavés
41%
Draw
31.5%
Elche
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 30.6% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 31.3% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Deportivo Alavés - Elche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.25)
    3.05
    (3.09)
    3.49
    (3.49)
    4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Elche?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Elche will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.8%85.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Alavés (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Elche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Alavés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M. (Foot Injury) Garces F. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Elche: Fort H. (Muscle Injury) Mendoza R. (International duty) Pedrosa A. (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alavés: Diaz M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Latest results of Elche
    28.09.2025 Elche - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    25.09.2025 Osasuna - Elche 1:1
    21.09.2025 Elche - Real Oviedo 1:0
    12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2
    04.09.2025 Real Murcia - Elche 3:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Sevilla841315:11413
    6Elche834111:9213
    7Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    8Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    9Espanyol833211:11012
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    17Girona81345:17-126
    18Celta Vigo70526:9-35
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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