Deportes La Serena vs Unión La Calera: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera
16/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHILE: Liga de Primera - Round 5
  • Referee: Mera C. D. (Chi)
Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.38
Ball Possession
37%63%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
19
Shots inside the Box
33
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1313
Offsides
00
Fouls
1313
Yellow Cards
34
Throw-ins
1822
Touches in the Opposition Box
69
Passes
75% (221/294)83% (390/469)
Passes in the final third
59% (44/74)59% (51/87)
Crosses
11% (1/9)10% (3/30)
Tackles
72% (13/18)75% (9/12)
Clearances Total
2714
Interceptions
813

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Chamorro F. 🟨,
  • 31', Brunet N. 🟨,
  • 34', De Los Santos E. 🟨,
  • 42', Jhonatan Kauan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Gallegos S. ,
  • 58', Rivera F. , Lopez F. ,
  • 62', Chamorro F. , Moreira E. ,
  • 66', De Los Santos E. , Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ,
  • 66', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. , Lobos F. ,
  • 66', Alvarez Wallace A. , Moya C. ,
  • 68', Ulloa D. 🟨,
  • 75', Jhonatan Kauan , Diaz F. ,
  • 75', Ovando L. , Jara Gonzalez G. A. ,
  • 80', Gallegos S. 🟨,
  • 82', Gallegos S. , Rivera M. ,
  • 83', Henriquez A. , Ferreyra N. ,
  • 87', Ulloa D. , Yanez F. ,
  • 90', Yanez F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportes La Serena
35.7%
Draw
29.9%
Unión La Calera
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 27.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 29.4% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.39)
    3.13
    (3.36)
    2.75
    (2.86)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Deportes La Serena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Unión La Calera have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportes La Serena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera were as follows:
    30.10.2022 Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera 2:1
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo1595119:71232
    2A. Italiano15102328:181032
    3Palestino1584322:14828
    4O'Higgins1575315:15026
    5U. De Chile1381429:131625
    6Cobresal1565419:18123
    7U. Catolica1464420:14622
    8Union La Calera1564515:11422
    9Colo Colo1363423:131021
    10Huachipato1553720:23-318
    11La Serena1552819:27-817
    12Nublense1537514:22-816
    13Everton1535715:25-1014
    14Limache1534817:23-613
    15U. Espanola14211112:27-157
    16Deportes Iquique15131115:32-176

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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