Result
2:4
30/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga de Primera - Round 14
- Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (178/271) | 84% (460/545) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (178/271) | 84% (460/545) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/70) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (29/65) | 73% (102/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.48 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', Henriquez A. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
- 42', Delgado R. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Mendez V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Gutierrez B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 2, Hernandez L. ⚽,
- 51', 2 - 2, Rubio D. ⚽, Gutierrez B. (A),
- 53', Hernandez L. 🟨,
- 60', Madrid A. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 3, Pastran L. ⚽, Vidal A. (A),
- 68', Rubio D. ↓, Velasquez M. ↑,
- 78', Hernandez L. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
- 89', Lanzillotta F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pastran L. ↓, Wiemberg E. ↑,
- 90+2', Escalante G. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
- 90+2', Chamorro F. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 4, Lanzillotta F. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena
27.3% | Draw
28.2% | Colo-Colo
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes La Serena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes La Serena - Colo-Colo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(4.5) |
3.32 ↓
(3.6) |
2.1 ↑
(1.75) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Colo-Colo?
- Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 54% – 99.8%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0.
- Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Colo-Colo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Deportes La Serena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of home games.
- Colo-Colo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Colo-Colo?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Deportes La Serena?
Colo-Colo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Colo-Colo were as follows:
19.07.2025
Colo-Colo
-
Deportes La Serena
2:1
16.02.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Colo-Colo
1:3
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | Nublense | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 5 | Everton | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 6 | Palestino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | D. Concepcion | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Limache | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 24 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | La Serena | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | U. De Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13:30 | -17 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26:36 | -10 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportes La Serena - Colo-Colo?
It is being streamed on channel
