Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Welsh FA Cup
Soccer Welsh FA Cup Porthmadog - Denbigh Town
Result
3:2 penalties
24/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FA Cup - 1/64-finals
Porthmadog - Denbigh Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • Penalties (11 - 10)

Chances of winning


Porthmadog
30.6%		Draw
21.8%		Denbigh Town
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 22.2% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porthmadog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porthmadog's performance.
  • Denbigh Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
    •

    Porthmadog - Denbigh Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.99 ↓
    (3.56)    		 4.19 ↑
    (4.1)    		 1.92 ↑
    (1.74)    		 9.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Denbigh Town has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Porthmadog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Denbigh Town is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Porthmadog won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porthmadog - Denbigh Town were as follows:
    02.02.2024 Denbigh Town - Porthmadog 3:1
    Latest results of Porthmadog
    19.04.2024 Porthmadog - Holywell Town 0:3 ✺
    01.04.2024 Chirk AAA - Porthmadog 1:1
    29.03.2024 Porthmadog - Airbus UK Broughton 0:3
    16.03.2024 Guilsfield - Porthmadog 4:0
    09.03.2024 Porthmadog - Buckley Town 1:3
    Latest results of Denbigh Town
    16.09.2025 Llandudno - Denbigh Town 3:1
    12.09.2025 Denbigh Town - Flint Mountain 5:1
    05.09.2025 Denbigh Town - Buckley Town 1:1
    25.08.2025 Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town 1:1
    22.08.2025 Denbigh Town - Mold Alexandra 3:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1HolywellBye
    2RhostyllenNefyn United5 : 2
    3St. AsaphBangor 18760 : 6
    4ByeGuilsfield
    5Bow StreetCefn Albion4 : 2
    6ByeFlint
    7Caersws FCHawarden Rangers6 : 1
    8Dolgellau AthleticQueens Park
    9PorthmadogDenbigh3 : 2
    10ByeBuckley
    11Saltney TownGresford3 : 7
    12LlanrugRuthin4 : 3
    13LlandudnoBye
    14ByeFlint Mountain
    15Llanfair UnitedKinmel Bay1 : 2
    16ByeColwyn Bay
    17PwllheliRhyl1 : 3
    18BrickfieldNFA3 : 1
    19HolyheadForden Utd4 : 0
    20ByeAirbus
    21BalaBye
    22ByeConnahs Q.
    23Broughton UtdWelshpool2 : 1
    24Berriew FCTrearddur Bay0 : 3
    25Mold AlexandraBye
    26ByeTNS
    27NewtownBye
    28ByeCaernarfon
    29LlannefyddLlanberis5 : 1
    30PenrhyncochSychdyn Utd2 : 0
    31Cwmbach RoyalGarden Village3 : 4
    32Tredegar TownGlynneath Town1 : 3
    33Dinas PowysAfan United3 : 1
    34Cardiff DraconiansCwmbran Celtic4 : 2
    35LlwydcoedLliswerry
    36PillTreowen (WO.)
    37Newport CityBye
    38Penygraig UtdCwm Welfare3 : 2
    39AberystwythBye
    40ByeBarry
    41Llantwit MajorBaglan Dragons2 : 0
    42Cwmbran TownYnyshir Albions5 : 4
    43Cardiff MetropolitanBye
    44Taffs WellAbertillery Excelsiors2 : 1
    45Port TalbotSeven Sisters2 : 1
    46Afan LidoEvans Williams3 : 2
    47Carmarthen TownBye
    48ByeTrethomas Bluebirds
    49LlanelliBye
    50ByeHaverfordwest
    51PenydarrenCaerau Ely0 : 5
    52Morriston TownClydach1 : 0
    53CaerphillyCaldicot1 : 3
    54Penrhiwceiber RangersPentwynmawr Ath7 : 0
    55Goytre UtdAmmanford2 : 1
    56ByeCambrian United
    57PontypriddBye
    58RhayaderCefn Cribwr1 : 4
    59Abercarn UnitedSwansea University1 : 2
    60ByeTrefelin
    61Briton FerryBye
    62ByePenybont
    63Blaenavon BluesCanton Liberal4 : 1
    64PontyclunTata4 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1HolywellRhostyllen
    2Bangor 1876Guilsfield
    3Bow StreetFlint
    4Caersws FCTBD #8
    5PorthmadogBuckley
    6GresfordLlanrug
    7LlandudnoFlint Mountain
    8Kinmel BayColwyn Bay
    9RhylBrickfield
    10HolyheadAirbus
    11BalaConnahs Q.
    12Broughton UtdTrearddur Bay
    13Mold AlexandraTNS
    14NewtownCaernarfon
    15LlannefyddPenrhyncoch
    16Garden VillageGlynneath Town
    17Dinas PowysCardiff Draconians
    18TBD #35Treowen
    19Newport CityPenygraig Utd
    20AberystwythBarry
    21Llantwit MajorCwmbran Town
    22Cardiff MetropolitanTaffs Well
    23Port TalbotAfan Lido
    24Carmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
    25LlanelliHaverfordwest
    26Caerau ElyMorriston Town
    27CaldicotPenrhiwceiber Rangers
    28Goytre UtdCambrian United
    29PontypriddCefn Cribwr
    30Swansea UniversityTrefelin
    31Briton FerryPenybont
    32Blaenavon BluesPontyclun
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