Result
4:2
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38
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Chances of winning
Alvarado
45.6% | Draw
28.9% | Defensores Unidos
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvarado's performance.Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alvarado - Defensores Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.41) |
3.22 ↑
(3.05) |
3.66 ↑
(2.78) |
7.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Defensores Unidos?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
- Alvarado is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Alvarado will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Defensores Unidos?
Alvarado has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensores Unidos won against Alvarado?
Defensores Unidos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Defensores Unidos were as follows:
04.06.2023
Defensores Unidos
-
Alvarado
0:0
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico Atlanta | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 36 |
| 2 | San Martin T | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 20:14 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Patronato | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17:12 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Almagro | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ferro | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 13:19 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 10:17 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | All Boys | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 20 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:10 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27:13 | 14 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 33 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 23:17 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Temperley | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 31 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 19:16 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 16:12 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15:20 | -5 | 21 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 8:33 | -25 | 10 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 5:24 | -19 | 7 |
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