Defensa y Justicia vs Racing: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Racing
Result
1:2
28/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
Defensa y Justicia - Racing - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.88
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
72% (235/327)80% (306/384)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.02
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
72% (235/327)80% (306/384)
Long passes
38% (26/69)30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
59% (70/119)58% (60/103)
Crosses
33% (6/18)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.31
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1215
Tackles
83% (5/6)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3445
Clearances
1735
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.021.29
Goals prevented
-0.980.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Colombo N. 🟨,
  • 23', Delgado R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Cannavo E. , Ferreira L. ,
  • 52', Nardoni J. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 58', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
  • 59', Gonzalez L. , Molinas A. ,
  • 61', Almendra A. E. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 61', Vietto L. , Solari S. ,
  • 69', Mura F. , Martirena Torres G. N. ,
  • 69', Nardoni J. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Salas M. , Fernandez A. (A),
  • 74', Salas M. 🟨,
  • 82', Perez C. , Larralde V. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. , Salas M. (A),
  • 88', Gonzalez F. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 90+1', Balboa A. , Rodriguez I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
27.8%
Draw
28.8%
Racing
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 28.2% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 28.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Racing Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (2.81)
    3.25
    (3.36)
    2.18
    (2.5)
    6.1%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Racing?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0.
    • Defensa y Justicia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Racing will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K. (Injury) Barbona D. (Knee Injury) Franco L. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury) Soto A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Yellow Cards) Nardoni J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Racing: Zuculini B. (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Racing were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 4:3
    16.03.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 1:1
    01.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 2:2
    28.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:1
    05.10.2022 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 3:3
    Latest results of Racing
    22.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Racing 1:1
    18.04.2025 Racing - Central Córdoba 1:0
    14.04.2025 Aldosivi - Racing 0:2
    06.04.2025 Racing - Banfield 4:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    2Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    3Belgrano31113:124
    4Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    5Banfield21102:114
    6Newells Old Boys31113:304
    7Tigre31113:304
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Aldosivi30210:2-22
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Rosario Central31202:115
    3Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    4Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Instituto31111:4-34
    8Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    9Dep. Riestra21013:303
    10Lanus31022:203
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    13Platense30211:3-22
    14Independiente20113:4-11
    15Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Defensa y Justicia - Racing?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional
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