Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys
Result
1:1
17/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.54
Ball Possession
79%21%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
90% (603/672)54% (99/183)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.58
Total shots
175
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
76
Passes
90% (603/672)54% (99/183)
Long passes
69% (33/48)37% (23/63)
Passes in final third
83% (217/260)35% (23/66)
Crosses
23% (9/40)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.18
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
77
Tackles
71% (12/17)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5060
Clearances
4047
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.580.93
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Mosquera J. , Iniguez G. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Perez C. , Miritello J. B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Molinas A. , Barbona D. ,
  • 64', Orozco F. , Chiaverano G. ,
  • 64', Iniguez G. , Sotelo D. ,
  • 66', Hausch A. , Souto L. ,
  • 66', Gutierrez J. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 71', Garcia J. , Gomez Mattar J. ,
  • 78', Delgado R. , Stefanelli N. ,
  • 84', Souto L. 🟨,
  • 84', Acuna V. , Guch F. ,
  • 85', Tabares A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
52.3%
Draw
30.3%
Newells Old Boys
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 29.8% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 29.7% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia's performance.
  • Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.2)
    3.15
    (3.18)
    5.47
    (3.49)
    3.8%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys?
  • Users Predictions: Defensa y Justicia will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensa y Justicia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
    • Defensa y Justicia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newells Old Boys has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Defensa y Justicia is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Gonzalez L. (Injury) Osorio A. (Red Card) Schamine B. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Chiaverano G. (Knock) Regiardo L. (Red Card) Salcedo S. (Inactive) Silvetti M. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Martino A. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:2. (average 1.4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys 0:2
    12.02.2025 Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia 0:1
    25.05.2024 Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia 1:0
    16.04.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys 1:0
    27.11.2023 Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia 3:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe944115:8716
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    4Boca Juniors935112:6614
    5Central Cordoba935112:8414
    6Banfield94149:13-413
    7Belgrano93339:7212
    8Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    9Tigre93338:7112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    10Instituto92435:11-610
    11Platense82338:11-39
    12San Martin S.J92346:9-39
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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