Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Balino J. (Arg)
Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.710.64
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
713
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Long passes
51% (25/49)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
67% (35/52)77% (134/175)
Crosses
50% (4/8)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.38
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
137
Tackles
57% (8/14)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3633
Clearances
3019
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.643.71
Goals prevented
-0.361.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 40', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 63', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
  • 63', Aguirre B. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
  • 70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
  • 73', Velasco A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
  • 74', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Osorio A. (Pen),
  • 85', Battaglia R. ↓, Janson L. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Osorio A. ⚽, Soto A. (A),
  • 90+6', Miritello J. B. ↓, Aguilera E. ↑,
  • 90+6', Cannavo E. ↓, Souto L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
24%		Draw
30.4%		Boca Juniors
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 30.1% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 29.5% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.93 ↑
    (3.45)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.13)    		 2.1 ↓
    (2.2)    		 5.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 15.4% – 84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Molinas A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:2
    10.02.2024 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    15.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 1:0
    06.03.2023 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    22.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 1:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Platense 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Belgrano 2:1 ✺
    22.08.2025 Barracas Central - Defensa y Justicia 1:1 ✺
    17.08.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    21.09.2025 Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Rosario Central - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Aldosivi - Boca Juniors 0:2 ✺
    24.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Banfield 2:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors 0:3 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    2Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    3Barracas Central1145213:11217
    4Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    5Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    6Tigre1144310:8216
    7Huracan114436:8-216
    8Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    9Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1133510:12-212
    13Ind. Rivadavia1125410:12-211
    14Newells Old Boys112459:17-810
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1164116:7922
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo114439:8116
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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