Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia
16/03/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.35
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
33
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
913
Offsides
30
Fouls
139
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
1515
Touches in the Opposition Box
287
Passes
83% (342/412)84% (412/491)
Passes in the final third
69% (68/99)69% (72/105)
Crosses
38% (6/16)12% (2/17)
Tackles
80% (16/20)60% (6/10)
Clearances Total
2415
Interceptions
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Cavani E. , Carlos Palacios (A),
  • 26', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. , Belmonte T. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Gimenez M. , Carlos Palacios (A),
  • 35', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Miranda M. , Barbona D. ,
  • 46', Osorio A. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 50', 3 - 0, Gimenez M. , Blondel L. (A),
  • 62', Molinas A. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 62', Perez C. , Schamine B. ,
  • 65', Gimenez M. , Miguel Merentiel ,
  • 65', Zenon K. , Battaglia R. ,
  • 68', Schamine B. 🟨,
  • 70', Togni G. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 73', Belmonte T. 🟨,
  • 76', Cavani E. , Aguirre B. ,
  • 76', Carlos Palacios , Zeballos E. ,
  • 81', 4 - 0, Miguel Merentiel , Zeballos E. (A),
  • 89', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
  • 89', Rojo M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
52.2%
Draw
27.1%
Defensa y Justicia
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 26.8% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 29.9% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.75)
    3.51
    (3.51)
    4.61
    (4.85)
    5.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia?
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Defensa y Justicia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Defensa y Justicia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Injury) Belmonte T. (Injury) Figal J. (Injury) Lema C. (Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Injury) Saracchi M. (Inactive) Velasco A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Franco L. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K. (Inactive)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.1:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:2
    10.02.2024 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    15.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 1:0
    06.03.2023 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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