Toronto FC vs DC United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - DC United
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
Toronto FC - DC United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.39
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
82% (336/408)80% (349/434)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.472.14
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
82% (336/408)80% (349/434)
Long passes
46% (23/50)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
72% (100/139)60% (54/90)
Crosses
20% (3/15)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.70
Throw-ins
1123
Fouls
1317
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5441
Clearances
3321
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.141.47
Goals prevented
2.140.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Insigne L. , Corbeanu T. (A),
  • 63', Kijima H. , Leal R. ,
  • 63', Stroud J. , Murrell J. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Bartlett L. (Own goal),
  • 71', Boris Enow , Peltola M. ,
  • 71', Antley C. , Zouhir R. ,
  • 73', Coello A. , Longstaff M. ,
  • 73', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 81', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 82', Bernardeschi F. , Spicer T. ,
  • 85', Servania B. , Barajas F. ,
  • 90+1', Dominguez M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
40%
Draw
27.6%
DC United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 26.4% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Toronto FC - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.32)
    3.43
    (3.62)
    2.94
    (2.93)
    5.1%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). DC United will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for DC United: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • DC United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Etienne D. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Bartlett L. (Calf Injury) Gabriel Pirani (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - DC United were as follows:
    22.02.2025 DC United - Toronto FC 2:2
    31.08.2024 Toronto FC - DC United 1:3
    01.06.2024 DC United - Toronto FC 2:2
    27.05.2023 Toronto FC - DC United 2:1
    25.02.2023 DC United - Toronto FC 3:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of DC United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps16105130:121835
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Portland Timbers1785427:23429
    5Los Angeles FC1675430:23726
    6Seattle Sounders1875625:25026
    7Austin FC1865713:20-723
    8San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    9Colorado Rapids1764718:24-622
    10Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1744926:31-516
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1735914:23-914
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9Chicago Fire1674535:29625
    10New York City1774620:20025
    11New England Revolution1565419:14523
    12DC United1846817:36-1918
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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