DC United vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS DC United - Inter Miami
Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
DC United - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.62
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
69% (184/266)88% (580/657)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.77
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
69% (184/266)88% (580/657)
Long passes
34% (21/61)74% (52/70)
Passes in final third
53% (41/77)76% (139/182)
Crosses
86% (6/7)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.02
Throw-ins
1427
Fouls
1314
Tackles
62% (8/13)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4458
Clearances
2519
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.771.10
Goals prevented
0.770.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Hopkins J. , Peltola M. (A),
  • 36', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 41', Peltola M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Cremaschi B. 🟨,
  • 56', Segovia T. , de Paul R. ,
  • 56', Lujan G. , Busquets S. ,
  • 56', Ruiz D. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 62', Gabriel Pirani , Stroud J. ,
  • 62', Kijima H. , Murrell J. ,
  • 63', Allende T. , Suarez L. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Rodriguez B. ,
  • 74', Servania B. , Zouhir R. ,
  • 74', Hopkins J. , Peglow ,
  • 79', Antley C. , Badji D. ,
  • 79', Sailor R. , Fray I. ,
  • 90+7', Suarez L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


DC United
33.6%
Draw
27.7%
Inter Miami
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 23.1% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 21.7% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • DC United - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.08)
    3.45
    (4.08)
    2.43
    (2.04)
    5.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for DC United - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 1.
    • DC United has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Inter Miami is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • DC United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, DC United has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of home games.
    • Inter Miami could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Leal R. (Leg Injury) Peglow (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Kijima H. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Alba J. (Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, DC United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Inter Miami were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Inter Miami - DC United 1:0
    16.03.2024 DC United - Inter Miami 1:3
    08.07.2023 DC United - Inter Miami 2:2
    03.06.2023 Inter Miami - DC United 1:2
    18.09.2022 DC United - Inter Miami 2:3
    Latest results of DC United
    16.08.2025 CF Montréal - DC United 1:1
    26.07.2025 DC United - Austin FC 2:4
    19.07.2025 Columbus Crew - DC United 2:1
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    20.08.2025 Inter Miami - Tigres UANL 2:1
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of DC United - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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