Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/04/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wembley Stadium (London).

: FA Cup - Semi-finals
Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	0.99
Ball Possession
30%	70%
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	12
Passes
73% (173/238)	86% (471/547)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.03	1.27
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
5	9
Blocked Shots
0	2
Shots inside the Box
6	11
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	12
Touches in opposition box
20	36
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
5	9
Passes
73% (173/238)	86% (471/547)
Long passes
39% (21/54)	50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
48% (31/65)	69% (106/153)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.77
Throw-ins
12	17
Fouls
9	5
Tackles
61% (11/18)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
43	34
Clearances
51	25
Interceptions
10	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.27	1.03
Goals prevented
1.27	-1.97

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Kamara B. 🟨,
19', Mitchell T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Eze E. ⚽, Sarr I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Mateta J. (Pen),
58', 2 - 0, Sarr I. ⚽, Mateta J. (A),
60', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
60', McGinn J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
65', Richards C. 🟨,
70', Asensio M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
70', Kamara B. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
79', Mateta J. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
79', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
84', Mitchell T. ↓, Chilwell B. ↑,
84', Kamada D. 🟨,
88', Eze E. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
88', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Sarr I. ⚽, Nketiah E. (A),

Chances of winning

Crystal Palace
28.5%

Draw
27.9%

Aston Villa
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Crystal Palace - Aston Villa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.21)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)	4.4% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Aston Villa?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 32.6% – 78.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Crystal Palace could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Aston Villa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Crystal Palace: Chilwell B. (Illness) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:22 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Crystal Palace won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:8 (average 2.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against Aston Villa?

Crystal Palace has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Crystal Palace?

Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Aston Villa were as follows:

25.02.2025 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 4:1

23.11.2024 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 2:2

30.10.2024 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 1:2

19.05.2024 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 5:0

16.09.2023 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 3:1

Latest results of Crystal Palace

23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺

16.04.2025 Newcastle United - Crystal Palace 5:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Manchester City - Crystal Palace 5:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Aston Villa

22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Southampton - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺

Draw

Main

1/128-finals

1	Arsenal	Bye
4	Bye	Manchester Utd
5	Leicester	Bye
8	Bye	QPR
9	Stevenage	Guiseley	2 : 1
10	Curzon Ashton	Mansfield	0 : 4
11	Woking	Cambridge Utd	0 : 1
12	Carlisle	Wigan	0 : 2
13	Fulham	Bye
16	Bye	Watford
17	Hull	Bye
19	Northampton	Kettering	1 : 2
20	Barrow	Doncaster	0 : 1
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
23	Stockport County	Forest Green	2 : 1
24	Brackley Town	Braintree	1 : 0
25	Leeds	Bye
27	Harrogate	Wrexham	1 : 0
28	Hednesford	Gainsborough	4 : 5
29	Millwall	Bye
31	MK Dons	AFC Wimbledon	0 : 2
32	Crewe	Dag & Red	0 : 1
33	Preston	Bye
35	Walsall	Bolton	2 : 1
36	Southend	Charlton	3 : 4
37	Grimsby	Wealdstone	0 : 1
38	Wycombe	York City	3 : 2
40	Bye	Portsmouth
41	Southampton	Bye
44	Bye	Swansea
45	Reading	Fleetwood	2 : 0
46	Tonbridge	Harborough	1 : 4
48	Bye	Burnley
49	Aston Villa	Bye
52	Bye	West Ham
53	Burton	Scarborough	1 : 0
54	Tamworth	Huddersfield	1 : 0
56	Bye	Tottenham
57	Sunderland	Bye
60	Bye	Stoke
61	Sheffield Utd	Bye
64	Bye	Cardiff
65	Gillingham	Blackpool	0 : 2
66	Sutton	Birmingham	0 : 1
67	Maidenhead	Crawley	1 : 2
68	Chesham	Lincoln	0 : 4
69	Newcastle	Bye
71	Solihull Moors	Maidstone	3 : 0
72	Rochdale	Bromley	3 : 4
73	Norwich	Bye
76	Bye	Brighton
77	Chelsea	Bye
79	Worthing	Morecambe	0 : 2
80	Bradford City	Aldershot	3 : 1
81	Exeter	Barnet	5 : 3
82	Chesterfield	Horsham FC	3 : 1
84	Bye	Oxford Utd
85	Nottingham	Bye
88	Bye	Luton
89	Coventry	Bye
92	Bye	Sheffield Wed
93	Ipswich	Bye
95	Port Vale	Barnsley	1 : 3
96	Bristol Rovers	Weston-super-Mare	3 : 1
97	Everton	Bye
99	Newport	Peterborough	2 : 4
100	Notts Co	Alfreton	5 : 1
101	Bournemouth	Bye
104	Bye	West Brom
105	Middlesbrough	Bye
108	Bye	Blackburn
109	Bristol City	Bye
112	Bye	Wolves
113	Boreham Wood	Leyton Orient	2 : 3
114	Tranmere	Oldham	1 : 2
116	Bye	Derby
117	Manchester City	Bye
119	Salford	Shrewsbury	2 : 1
120	Rotherham	Cheltenham	1 : 3
121	Brentford	Bye
124	Bye	Plymouth
125	Liverpool	Bye
127	Rushall	Accrington	0 : 2
128	Swindon	Colchester	2 : 1

1/64-finals

1	Arsenal	Bye
2	Bye	Manchester Utd
3	Leicester	Bye
4	Bye	QPR
5	Stevenage	Mansfield	0 : 1
6	Cambridge Utd	Wigan	1 : 2
7	Fulham	Bye
8	Bye	Watford
9	Hull	Bye
10	Kettering	Doncaster	1 : 2
11	Crystal Palace	Bye
12	Stockport County	Brackley Town	3 : 1
13	Leeds	Bye
14	Harrogate	Gainsborough	1 : 0
15	Millwall	Bye
16	AFC Wimbledon	Dag & Red	1 : 2
17	Preston	Bye
18	Walsall	Charlton	0 : 4
19	Wealdstone	Wycombe	0 : 2
20	Bye	Portsmouth
21	Southampton	Bye
22	Bye	Swansea
23	Reading	Harborough	5 : 3
24	Bye	Burnley
25	Aston Villa	Bye
26	Bye	West Ham
27	Burton	Tamworth	1 : 2
28	Bye	Tottenham
29	Sunderland	Bye
30	Bye	Stoke
31	Sheffield Utd	Bye
32	Bye	Cardiff
33	Blackpool	Birmingham	1 : 2
34	Crawley	Lincoln	3 : 4
35	Newcastle	Bye
36	Solihull Moors	Bromley	1 : 2
37	Norwich	Bye
38	Bye	Brighton
39	Chelsea	Bye
40	Morecambe	Bradford City	1 : 0
41	Exeter	Chesterfield	2 : 0
42	Bye	Oxford Utd
43	Nottingham	Bye
44	Bye	Luton
45	Coventry	Bye
46	Bye	Sheffield Wed
47	Ipswich	Bye
48	Barnsley	Bristol Rovers	0 : 1
49	Everton	Bye
50	Peterborough	Notts Co	4 : 3
51	Bournemouth	Bye
52	Bye	West Brom
53	Middlesbrough	Bye
54	Bye	Blackburn
55	Bristol City	Bye
56	Bye	Wolves
57	Leyton Orient	Oldham	2 : 1
58	Bye	Derby
59	Manchester City	Bye
60	Salford	Cheltenham	2 : 0
61	Brentford	Bye
62	Bye	Plymouth
63	Liverpool	Bye
64	Accrington	Swindon	3 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Arsenal	Manchester Utd	1 : 2
2	Leicester	QPR	6 : 2
3	Mansfield	Wigan	0 : 2
4	Fulham	Watford	4 : 1
5	Hull	Doncaster	1 : 2
6	Crystal Palace	Stockport County	1 : 0
7	Leeds	Harrogate	1 : 0
8	Millwall	Dag & Red	3 : 0
9	Preston	Charlton	2 : 1
10	Wycombe	Portsmouth	2 : 0
11	Southampton	Swansea	3 : 0
12	Reading	Burnley	1 : 3
13	Aston Villa	West Ham	2 : 1
14	Tamworth	Tottenham	0 : 3
15	Sunderland	Stoke	1 : 2
16	Sheffield Utd	Cardiff	0 : 1
17	Birmingham	Lincoln	2 : 1
18	Newcastle	Bromley	3 : 1
19	Norwich	Brighton	0 : 4
20	Chelsea	Morecambe	5 : 0
21	Exeter	Oxford Utd	3 : 1
22	Nottingham	Luton	2 : 0
23	Coventry	Sheffield Wed	2 : 1
24	Ipswich	Bristol Rovers	3 : 0
25	Everton	Peterborough	2 : 0
26	Bournemouth	West Brom	5 : 1
27	Middlesbrough	Blackburn	0 : 1
28	Bristol City	Wolves	1 : 2
29	Leyton Orient	Derby	2 : 1
30	Manchester City	Salford	8 : 0
31	Brentford	Plymouth	0 : 1
32	Liverpool	Accrington	4 : 0

1/16-finals

1	Manchester Utd	Leicester	2 : 1
2	Wigan	Fulham	1 : 2
3	Doncaster	Crystal Palace	0 : 2
4	Leeds	Millwall	0 : 2
5	Preston	Wycombe	1 : 0
6	Southampton	Burnley	0 : 1
7	Aston Villa	Tottenham	2 : 1
8	Stoke	Cardiff	3 : 4
9	Birmingham	Newcastle	2 : 3
10	Brighton	Chelsea	2 : 1
11	Exeter	Nottingham	2 : 3
12	Coventry	Ipswich	1 : 4
13	Everton	Bournemouth	0 : 2
14	Blackburn	Wolves	0 : 2
15	Leyton Orient	Manchester City	1 : 2
16	Plymouth	Liverpool	1 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Manchester Utd	Fulham	1 : 2
2	Crystal Palace	Millwall	3 : 1
3	Preston	Burnley	3 : 0
4	Aston Villa	Cardiff	2 : 0
5	Newcastle	Brighton	1 : 2
6	Nottingham	Ipswich	2 : 1
7	Bournemouth	Wolves	2 : 1
8	Manchester City	Plymouth	3 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Fulham	Crystal Palace	0 : 3
2	Preston	Aston Villa	0 : 3
3	Brighton	Nottingham	0 : 1
4	Bournemouth	Manchester City	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Crystal Palace	Aston Villa	3 : 0
2	Nottingham	Manchester City	0 : 2

Final

1

Crystal Palace

Manchester City

1 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Crystal Palace - Aston Villa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 5, Now Sports 651
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports X, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Select
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 4, HUB Sports 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	MTRK Sport, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+