Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Aston Villa - Crystal Palace
Result
0:3
31/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 3
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
Aston Villa - Crystal Palace - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.67
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
90% (470/524)85% (328/384)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.24
Total shots
136
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
137
Passes
90% (470/524)85% (328/384)
Long passes
68% (30/44)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
76% (123/161)70% (67/96)
Crosses
19% (6/31)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.19
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
714
Tackles
45% (5/11)68% (17/25)
Duels won
3547
Clearances
1838
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.241.02
Goals prevented
-0.761.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Cash M. 🟨,
  • 20', Bizot M. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Mateta J. (Pen),
  • 22', Mateta J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Guessand E. , Buendia E. ,
  • 52', Hughes W. 🟨,
  • 56', Wharton A. , Lerma J. ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Guehi M. ,
  • 71', Hughes W. , Pino Y. ,
  • 74', Cash M. , Burrowes B. ,
  • 74', McGinn J. , Torres P. ,
  • 78', 0 - 3, Sarr I. , Lacroix M. (A),
  • 83', Malen D. , Digne L. ,
  • 84', Maatsen I. , Bogarde L. ,
  • 85', Mateta J. , Devenny J. ,
  • 86', Kamada D. , Clyne N. ,
  • 87', Sarr I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
48.2%
Draw
27.4%
Crystal Palace
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 26.7% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 29.6% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aston Villa - Crystal Palace Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.83)
    3.48
    (3.58)
    3.96
    (4.5)
    4.4%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Crystal Palace?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 43 - 68.3%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 9 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 56.8%79.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 5 - 50%). Crystal Palace (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 0.
    • Recent performances by Aston Villa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Crystal Palace is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Brannigan C. (Injury) Garcia A. (Knock) Kamara B. (Hamstring Injury) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Edouard O. (Calf Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Nketiah E. (Hamstring Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Hughes W. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Crystal Palace were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 3:0
    25.02.2025 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 4:1
    23.11.2024 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 2:2
    30.10.2024 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 1:2
    19.05.2024 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 5:0
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Crystal Palace
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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