Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 19
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.36 | 1.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
15 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
80% (303/377) | 81% (249/307) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.36 | 1.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.76 | 1.75 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
15 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
43 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
80% (303/377) | 81% (249/307) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (27/52) | 51% (25/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (109/149) | 65% (42/65) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (14/38) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.67 | 1.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 41% (7/17) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.75 | 1.76 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.25 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Rincon T. 🟨,
- 24', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 34', Romero L. 🟨,
- 35', Neymar 🟨,
- 41', Christian 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Fabricio Bruno ⚽, Wanderson (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Barreal A. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 46', Rollheiser B. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 47', Rincon T. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 48', Caballero G. 🟨,
- 58', Kaiki 🟨,
- 61', Ze Rafael 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Caballero G. (A),
- 72', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 72', Christian ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 81', Romero L. ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Caballero G. ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 90+3', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 90+4', Neymar ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 90+4', Guilherme ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro 60.5% | Draw 23.8% | Santos 15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Cruzeiro - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↑ (1.51) |
3.98 ↑ (3.82) |
6.09 ↓ (7.35) |
5.3% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Santos?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Santos will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Arao W.
(Muscle Injury)
Guilherme
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Basso
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Aderlan
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Santos?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Cruzeiro?
Santos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Santos were as follows:
14.09.2023
Santos
-
Cruzeiro
0:3
06.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Santos
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 44:9 | 35 | 46 |
2 | Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 27:15 | 12 | 42 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Cruzeiro - Santos?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |