Cruzeiro vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Santos
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 19
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
Cruzeiro - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.361.93
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
153
Passes
80% (303/377)81% (249/307)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
2.361.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.761.75
Total shots
199
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
153
Touches in opposition box
4316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
80% (303/377)81% (249/307)
Long passes
52% (27/52)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
73% (109/149)65% (42/65)
Crosses
37% (14/38)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.671.36
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1712
Tackles
75% (9/12)41% (7/17)
Duels won
4148
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.751.76
Goals prevented
-0.250.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Rincon T. 🟨,
  • 24', Villalba L. 🟨,
  • 34', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 35', Neymar 🟨,
  • 41', Christian 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Fabricio Bruno , Wanderson (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Barreal A. , Caballero G. ,
  • 46', Rollheiser B. , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 47', Rincon T. , Ze Rafael ,
  • 48', Caballero G. 🟨,
  • 58', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 61', Ze Rafael 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Guilherme , Caballero G. (A),
  • 72', Wanderson , Marquinhos ,
  • 72', Christian , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 81', Romero L. , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Caballero G. , Guilherme (A),
  • 90+3', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
  • 90+4', Neymar , Joao Schmidt ,
  • 90+4', Guilherme , Escobar G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
60.5%
Draw
23.8%
Santos
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 24.7% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 24.2% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Cruzeiro - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.51)
    3.98
    (3.82)
    6.09
    (7.35)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Santos will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Arao W. (Muscle Injury) Guilherme (Ankle Injury) Joao Basso (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Santos: Aderlan (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Santos were as follows:
    14.09.2023 Santos - Cruzeiro 0:3
    06.05.2023 Cruzeiro - Santos 2:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    07.08.2025 CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro 0:2
    03.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:2
    30.07.2025 Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio 0:0
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    23.07.2025 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 0:0
    Latest results of Santos
    04.08.2025 Santos - Juventude 3:1
    26.07.2025 Sport Recife - Santos 2:2
    23.07.2025 Santos - Internacional RS 1:2
    19.07.2025 Mirassol - Santos 3:0
    16.07.2025 Santos - Flamengo 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ20144244:93546
    2Palmeiras19133327:151242
    3Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ1995526:121432
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2188526:22432
    8Bragantino2193926:28-230
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2075819:19026
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    13Internacional2066823:28-524
    14Gremio2066819:25-624
    15Santos20631120:31-1121
    16Vasco20541127:29-219
    17Vitoria21310818:32-1419
    18Juventude20531218:41-2318
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife19171112:30-1810

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cruzeiro - Santos?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    israelIsraelSport 2
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaFanatiz
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