Chiefs vs Crusaders: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
49:12
12/06/2026 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Rugby - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Gardner A. (Aus)
Chiefs - Crusaders - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
72
Conversion goals
71
Conversion goal attempts
72
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
10050
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
110121
Metres run with ball
455558
Yellow cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (42 - 5)
  • 12', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
  • 13', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
  • 16', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Hutchinson I. (Try),
  • 21', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
  • 25', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Hutchinson I. , Carter L. ,
  • 26', Fihaki C. (Try),
  • 27', Kemara T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 30', Carter L. (Try),
  • 31', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Vaa'i T. (Try),
  • 34', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 35', Faingaanuku L. , Gardiner D. ,
  • 2nd Half (7 - 7)
  • 48', McNicholl J. , Springer M. ,
  • 48', Kemara T. , Reihana R. ,
  • 48', Hotham N. , Preston K. ,
  • 51', Lord J. , Ah Kuoi N. ,
  • 51', Shalfoon A. , Cahill T. ,
  • 51', Norris O. , Proffit J. ,
  • 52', Newell F. , Bower G. ,
  • 54', Ahio S. , Dyer G. ,
  • 56', Taukei'aho S. , McAlister B. ,
  • 56', Tupaea Q. , Jacomb J. ,
  • 63', Havili D. (Try),
  • 63', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Coombes-Fabling L. 🟨,
  • 69', Foketi L. , Boshier K. ,
  • 69', Brewis F. , Sexton J. ,
  • 69', Springer M. , Letiu M. ,
  • 71', Carter L. , Roe X. ,
  • 79', Roe X. (Try),
  • 80', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Chiefs
59.7%
Draw
4.2%
Crusaders
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 4.7% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 4.7% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • The chances for Crusaders have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Chiefs - Crusaders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.55)
    22.15
    (19.67)
    2.58
    (2.56)
    8.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Chiefs - Crusaders?
    • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chiefs will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Crusaders will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:27.
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Recently, Crusaders has had a series of home games.
    • Chiefs will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Chiefs will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 508:518. (average 25.4:25.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chiefs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 298:278. (average 29.8:27.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chiefs - Crusaders were as follows:
    22.05.2026 Crusaders - Chiefs 36:32
    28.02.2026 Chiefs - Crusaders 33:43
    21.06.2025 Crusaders - Chiefs 16:12
    10.05.2025 Crusaders - Chiefs 19:35
    21.02.2025 Chiefs - Crusaders 49:24
    Latest results of Chiefs
    06.06.2026 Chiefs - Reds 46:24
    30.05.2026 Chiefs - Blues 59:34
    22.05.2026 Crusaders - Chiefs 36:32
    15.05.2026 Chiefs - Highlanders 42:12
    08.05.2026 Reds - Chiefs 21:31
    Latest results of Crusaders
    06.06.2026 Crusaders - Blues 52:31
    29.05.2026 Crusaders - Hurricanes 47:14
    22.05.2026 Crusaders - Chiefs 36:32
    08.05.2026 Crusaders - Blues 36:20
    01.05.2026 Hurricanes - Crusaders 38:31
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hurricanes (1)Brumbies (6)66 : 12
    3Chiefs (2)Reds (5)46 : 24
    4Crusaders (3)Blues (4)52 : 31

    Semi-finals
    1Hurricanes (1)Blues (4)57 : 21
    2Chiefs (2)Crusaders (3)49 : 12

    Final
    1Hurricanes (1)Chiefs (2)60 : 5
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