Derby County vs Coventry City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Derby County - Coventry City
Result
3:5
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 2
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Derby County - Coventry City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.483.26
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
410
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
78% (239/307)79% (281/354)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.483.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.084.77
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
514
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1636
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
78% (239/307)79% (281/354)
Long passes
52% (25/48)36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
60% (55/91)63% (71/112)
Crosses
23% (5/22)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.06
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1411
Tackles
71% (12/17)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
4436
Interceptions
21
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
4.772.08
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Thomas B. ,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Elder C. ,
  • 25', 1 - 2, Wright H. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Thomas-Asante B. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Morris C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 50', 3 - 2, Adams E. ,
  • 55', Grimes M. 🟨,
  • 62', Nyambe R. 🟨,
  • 72', 3 - 3, Thomas-Asante B. ,
  • 75', 3 - 4, Mason-Clark E. , van Ewijk M. (A),
  • 76', Wright H. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 5, Torp V. , van Ewijk M. (A),
  • 81', Batth D. , Clark B. ,
  • 81', Ozoh D. , Ward J. ,
  • 81', Jackson K. , Weimann A. ,
  • 83', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
  • 84', Thompson L. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 89', Nyambe R. , Brown D. ,
  • 90+1', Mason-Clark E. , Kesler-Hayden K. ,
  • 90+1', Wright H. , Simms E. ,
  • 90+5', Torp V. , Allen J. ,
  • 90+7', Thomas-Asante B. , Borges Rodrigues R. ,
  • 90+9', Rushworth C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Derby County
21.6%
Draw
30.1%
Coventry City
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 29.4% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 31.2% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
  • Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coventry City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coventry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derby County - Coventry City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.94
    (2.79)
    3.43
    (3.24)
    2.11
    (2.61)
    -3.2%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Coventry City?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Coventry will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 22%61.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Coventry (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
    • In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Coventry is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Coventry has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Hernia) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derby won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Coventry City were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Derby County - Coventry City 2:0
    06.11.2024 Coventry City - Derby County 1:2
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Coventry City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough44007:1612
    2West Brom43106:3310
    3Stoke43018:359
    4Leicester43016:339
    5Coventry422014:688
    6Bristol City42209:458
    7Swansea42114:227
    8Portsmouth42114:317
    9Preston42114:317
    10Birmingham42114:407
    11Norwich42026:516
    12Millwall42023:6-36
    13Southampton41216:605
    14Watford41215:505
    15Wrexham41127:704
    16Charlton41122:4-24
    17Hull41125:9-44
    18QPR41126:11-54
    19Blackburn41034:5-13
    20Ipswich40314:5-13
    21Derby40227:11-42
    22Oxford Utd40134:7-31
    23Sheffield Wed40133:9-61
    24Sheffield Utd40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Derby County - Coventry City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
    usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
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