Corentin Moutet vs Learner Tien: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Shanghai Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien
Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 03:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals
Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
59%67%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (40/60)61% (33/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (17/41)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
46% (25/54)33% (20/60)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)59% (24/41)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)50% (6/12)
Net Points Won
65% (24/37)57% (28/49)
Service Points Won
56% (57/101)58% (47/81)
Return Points Won
42% (34/81)44% (44/101)
Total Points Won
50% (91/182)50% (91/182)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Corentin Moutet
55.2%
Learner Tien
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Moutet's performance.
  • Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corentin Moutet that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.98)

    2.13
    (1.71)
    5%
    (9%)
    What is the prediction for Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Tien will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Moutet (votes: 2 - 40%). Tien (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moutet is ranked ATP: 37. Tien is ranked ATP: 52.
    • In recent matches, Moutet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tien is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien were as follows:
    26.06.2025 Learner Tien - Corentin Moutet 0:2
    17.01.2025 Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien 0:3
    Latest results of Corentin Moutet
    Latest results of Learner Tien
    30.09.2025 Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev Medvedev D. retired
    29.09.2025 Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti Musetti L. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeVukic A. (LL)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Tien L.1 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)1 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.0 : 2
    6Borges N.Vukic A.2 : 0
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)2 : 0
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)2 : 1
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.2 : 0
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.0 : 2
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (RET.) (11)1 : 1
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.1 : 2
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)2 : 0
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.2 : 0
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.1 : 2
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Tien L.Norrie C. (30)2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Medvedev D. (16)0 : 2
    3Shang J.Borges N.1 : 2
    4Majchrzak K.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    5Zverev A. (3)Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    6Shapovalov D. (23)Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (12)De Jong J.2 : 0
    8Darderi L. (26)Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    9Goffin D. (RET.)Diallo G. (31)0 : 0
    10Cerundolo F. (19)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    11Nishioka Y.Munar J.1 : 2
    12Hanfmann Y.Djokovic N. (4)1 : 2
    13Fritz T. (5)Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    14Humbert U. (21)Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    15Vacherot V.Machac T. (RET.) (20)1 : 0
    16Griekspoor T. (27)Sinner J. (RET.) (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Tien L.Medvedev D. (16)1 : 2
    2Borges N.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    3Rinderknech A.Lehecka J. (15)2 : 0
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Musetti L. (8)2 : 0
    5Diallo G. (31)Bergs Z.1 : 2
    6Munar J.Djokovic N. (4)1 : 2
    7Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)Rune H. (10)1 : 2
    8Vacherot V.Griekspoor T. (27)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Medvedev D. (16)De Minaur A. (7)
    2Rinderknech A.Auger-Aliassime F. (12)
    3Bergs Z.Djokovic N. (4)
    4Rune H. (10)Vacherot V.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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