Result
0:3
25/01/2026 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/8-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 70% (31/44) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 67% (16/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 0% (0/1) |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 190 km/h | 177 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 156 km/h | 142 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 30% (13/44) | 41% (24/58) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 74% (20/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 70% (7/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 82% (9/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (41/85) | 69% (47/68) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (21/68) | 52% (44/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (62/153) | 59% (91/153) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 92% (11/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 72% (18/25) |
Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
63.5% | Learner Tien
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Medvedev that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.55) |
|
2.65 ↑
(2.39) |
2.6%
(6.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien?
- Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Tien (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 37 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +20 Games - Medvedev (2.10) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH +4.5 Games - Tien (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Daniil Medvedev will win
(27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Tien (votes: 6 - 23.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 12. Tien is ranked ATP: 29.
- Medvedev is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Tien is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Medvedev will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Learner Tien?
Daniil Medvedev has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Learner Tien won against Daniil Medvedev?
Learner Tien has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien were as follows:
08.10.2025
Learner Tien
-
Daniil Medvedev
1:2
30.09.2025
Learner Tien
-
Daniil Medvedev
Medvedev D. retired
16.01.2025
Learner Tien
-
Daniil Medvedev
3:2
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Learner Tien
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Svajda Z. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Zheng M. (Q) | Korda S. | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Schoolkate T. | Moutet C. (32) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Paul T. (19) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Tirante T. A. | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Brooksby J. | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Kecmanovic M. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Fery A. (Q) | Cobolli F. (20) | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Kubler J. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Kypson P. (WC) | Comesana F. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Medjedovic H. | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | McDonald M. (LL) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Diallo G. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Popyrin A. | Muller A. | 2 : 3 |
| 19 | Nava E. | Jacquet K. (WC) | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bonzi B. | Norrie C. (26) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Zhang Z. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Draxl L. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Blockx A. (LL) | Faria J. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Arnaldi M. | Rublev A. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | De Jong J. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Halys Q. | Tabilo A. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Majchrzak K. | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. (24) | 3 : 1 |
| 29 | Tien L. (25) | Giron M. | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Ymer E. (Q) | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Cerundolo J. M. | Thompson J. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Borges N. | Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Collignon R. (RET.) | 2 : 1 |
| 34 | Sonego L. | Taberner C. | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Dimitrov G. | Machac T. | 0 : 3 |
| 36 | Mochizuki S. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Lehecka J. (17) | Gea A. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 38 | Djere L. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Kopriva V. | Struff J-L. | 3 : 2 |
| 40 | Royer V. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 41 | Mensik J. (16) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 2 |
| 42 | Sakamoto R. (Q) | Jodar R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 43 | Hurkacz H. | Bergs Z. | 3 : 1 |
| 44 | Quinn E. | Griekspoor T. (23) | 3 : 0 |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 3 |
| 46 | Shang J. | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Atmane T. | Maestrelli F. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 48 | Martinez P. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Humbert U. | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Sweeny D. (Q) | Monfils G. | 3 : 1 |
| 51 | Mannarino A. | Hijikata R. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 52 | Damm M. (Q) | Vacherot V. (30) | 0 : 3 |
| 53 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Bu Y. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 54 | Altmaier D. | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 55 | Munar J. | Svrcina D. | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Bellucci M. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (15) | Michelsen A. | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | O'Connell C. (WC) | Basavareddy N. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Baez S. | 2 : 3 |
| 60 | Garin C. | Darderi L. (22) | 0 : 3 |
| 61 | Fonseca J. (28) | Spizzirri E. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Nardi L. | Wu Y. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 63 | Duckworth J. (WC) | Prizmic D. (LL) | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Gaston H. (RET.) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng M. (RET.) | Moutet C. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Paul T. (19) | Tirante T. A. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Opelka R. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Etcheverry T. M. | Fery A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Comesana F. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Muller A. | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Nava E. | Norrie C. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Dzumhur D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Faria J. | Rublev A. (13) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Halys Q. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Majchrzak K. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tien L. (25) | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Thompson J. | Borges N. | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Sonego L. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Machac T. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 3 : 1 |
| 19 | Gea A. | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 3 |
| 20 | Kopriva V. | Fritz T. (9) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (16) | Jodar R. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Hurkacz H. | Quinn E. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Shang J. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Maestrelli F. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Sweeny D. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Hijikata R. | Vacherot V. (30) | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (15) | Basavareddy N. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Baez S. | Darderi L. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Spizzirri E. | Wu Y. | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Duckworth J. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Moutet C. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Paul T. (19) | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Etcheverry T. M. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (29) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Zverev A. (3) | Norrie C. (26) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Rublev A. (13) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Marozsan F. | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Tien L. (25) | Borges N. | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (5) | Machac T. | 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (16) | Quinn E. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Vacherot V. (30) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Cilic M. | Ruud C. (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (15) | Darderi L. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | Spizzirri E. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Paul T. (19) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (10) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Zverev A. (3) | Cerundolo F. (18) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (11) | Tien L. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (5) | Fritz T. (9) | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (16) | Djokovic N. (WO.) (4) | |
| 7 | Shelton B. (8) | Ruud C. (12) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Darderi L. (22) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | De Minaur A. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Tien L. (25) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Musetti L. (RET.) (5) | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelton B. (8) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Zverev A. (3) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Djokovic N. (4) | Sinner J. (2) | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Djokovic N. (4) | 3 : 1 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN |
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 North-macedonia | HBO Max |
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 Peru | ESPN |
 Poland | HBO Max |
 Romania | HBO Max |
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 Slovenia | HBO Max |
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 Sweden | HBO Max |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ |
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