AGF Aarhus vs Copenhagen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Danish Superliga AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen
Result
1:3
27/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Superliga - Championship Group - Round 28
  • Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.291.45
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
79% (349/444)81% (362/449)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.291.45
xG on target (xGOT)
3.232.38
Total shots
129
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
74
Passes
79% (349/444)81% (362/449)
Long passes
45% (33/74)44% (39/89)
Passes in final third
56% (70/124)66% (97/147)
Crosses
15% (3/20)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.63
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
47
Tackles
78% (7/9)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3746
Clearances
1741
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.383.23
Goals prevented
-0.622.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Lerager L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 60', Claesson V. , Cornelius A. ,
  • 61', Delaney T. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Beijmo F. ,
  • 71', Bardghji R. , Robert ,
  • 71', Lerager L. , Mattsson M. ,
  • 74', Jensen-Abbew J. , Akoto M. ,
  • 74', Bech T. , Badji Y. ,
  • 77', Links G. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Larsson J. , Cornelius A. (A),
  • 86', Links G. , Bach T. ,
  • 86', Arnstad K. , Duelund M. ,
  • 90', Larsson J. 🟨,
  • 90', Molgaard T. , Brandhof F. ,
  • 90+2', Larsson J. , Garananga M. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Delaney T. ,

Chances of winning


AGF Aarhus
27.4%
Draw
27.5%
Copenhagen
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 27.2% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 27.5% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AGF Aarhus's form might have worsened.
  • Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Copenhagen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Copenhagen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (2.6)
    3.42
    (3.47)
    2.12
    (2.59)
    5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 2.
    • Aarhus is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Copenhagen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Copenhagen will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Aarhus: Akoto M. (Injury) Andersen J. (Injury) Anderson M. (Yellow Cards) Kahl E. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Copenhagen: Achouri E. (Yellow Cards) Boilesen N. (Knee Injury) Diks K. (Injury) Elyounoussi M. (Inactive) Hojer O. (Surgery) Huescas R. (Yellow Cards) Meling B. (Muscle Injury) Ramaj D. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Aarhus: Tingager F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Copenhagen: Larsson J. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 28:43 (average 1.4:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    08.02.2025 AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen 4:3
    10.11.2024 AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen 1:1
    28.07.2024 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 3:2
    21.05.2024 AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen 3:2
    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
    21.04.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    17.04.2025 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    13.04.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 1:1
    07.04.2025 Brøndby - AGF Aarhus 2:1
    30.03.2025 AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland 2:0
    Latest results of Copenhagen
    21.04.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    17.04.2025 Midtjylland - Copenhagen 4:2
    13.04.2025 Copenhagen - Brøndby 1:2
    06.04.2025 Nordsjælland - Copenhagen 0:1
    31.03.2025 Copenhagen - Randers FC 1:0
    Danish Superliga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Copenhagen30169553:332057
    2Midtjylland30175859:392056
    3Randers FC30139855:431248
    4Brondby301212654:421248
    5Nordsjaelland311371153:53046
    6Aarhus3110101151:43840

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
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