AGF Aarhus vs SønderjyskE: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:1
03/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Superliga - Championship Group - Round 30
  • Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.731.06
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
97
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
95
Passes
90% (470/525)80% (261/328)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.731.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.612.82
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
127
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
4319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
119
Passes
90% (470/525)80% (261/328)
Long passes
47% (15/32)42% (18/43)
Passes in final third
83% (166/201)72% (62/86)
Crosses
22% (7/32)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.68
Throw ins
2611
Fouls
911
Tackles
80% (8/10)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3045
Clearances
2547
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
67
xGOT faced
2.822.61
Goals prevented
1.820.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Andersen J. , Emmery F. ,
  • 46', Waever S. , Pedersen A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Bech T. , Emmery F. (A),
  • 54', Links G. 🟨,
  • 68', Hoppe M. , Qamili L. ,
  • 68', Emini S. , Lyng A. ,
  • 70', Yakob K. , Poulsen N. ,
  • 78', Arnstad K. , Jorgensen S. ,
  • 78', Oggesen A. , Klysner T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Hyseni O. , Pedersen A. (A),
  • 82', Duru G. , Kristensen P. ,
  • 87', Knudsen M. , Serra J. ,
  • 88', Links G. , Bogere J. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Bogere J. , Mortensen P. (A),
  • 90+5', Bogere J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AGF Aarhus
67.9%
Draw
18.7%
SønderjyskE
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.9% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 21.5% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AGF Aarhus's performance.
  • SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.51)
    5
    (4.3)
    7.09
    (6)
    5.8%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE?
    • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 2 - 50%). SønderjyskE will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.
    • Aarhus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • SønderjyskE is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • SønderjyskE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aarhus is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Aarhus: Carstensen R. (Inactive) Solbakken M. (Inactive) Tchamche S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in SønderjyskE: Bundgaard M. (Head Injury) Gretarsson D. L. (Yellow Cards) Jensen M. (Inactive) Sigurgeirsson R. (Knee Injury) Wilkins D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE were as follows:
    15.03.2026 SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus 1:1
    09.11.2025 AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE 2:3
    29.10.2025 AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE 2:1
    20.07.2025 SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus 1:1
    16.02.2025 SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus 1:4
    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
    26.04.2026 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:0
    23.04.2026 Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus 1:1
    20.04.2026 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 2:1
    10.04.2026 AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland 1:1
    06.04.2026 Viborg - AGF Aarhus 1:2
    Latest results of SønderjyskE
    26.04.2026 SønderjyskE - Brøndby 3:0
    23.04.2026 SønderjyskE - Midtjylland 1:2
    17.04.2026 Brøndby - SønderjyskE 6:0
    12.04.2026 SønderjyskE - Viborg 0:2
    04.04.2026 Midtjylland - SønderjyskE 2:2
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Final
    1BrondbyFC Copenhagen1 : 3
    Which TV channels are streaming of AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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