Columbus Crew vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.882.05
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
84% (466/556)73% (242/333)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.882.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.36
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
146
Passes
84% (466/556)73% (242/333)
Long passes
36% (16/45)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
78% (142/183)62% (69/112)
Crosses
19% (4/21)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.06
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
614
Tackles
72% (13/18)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
1427
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.360.96
Goals prevented
0.36-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Zawadzki S. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Martinez J. , Leroux B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez J. , Judd P. ,
  • 54', Russell-Rowe J. , Jackson A. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Arfsten M. , Jackson A. (A),
  • 66', Vitor Costa , Jones D. ,
  • 66', Pellegrino A. , Bouda O. ,
  • 75', Leroux B. , Kaye M. ,
  • 75', Harkes I. , Tsakiris N. ,
  • 84', Moreira S. 🟨,
  • 86', Schulte P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
64%
Draw
19.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25.1% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 24.5% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.77)
    4.9
    (3.81)
    5.76
    (4.53)
    4.8%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Columbus won 2.
    • Columbus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • San Jose is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Columbus is a favorite.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Daniel (Injury) Fernandez N. (Inactive) Lopez H. (Shoulder Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N. (Finger Injury) Lappalainen L. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Columbus won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Columbus won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Colorado Rapids2175924:30-626
    10Austin FC2075815:23-826
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2197539:281134
    6Inter Miami1795340:281232
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution1966725:23224
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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