Columbus Crew vs DC United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Columbus Crew - DC United
Result
2:1
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)
Columbus Crew - DC United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.45
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
90% (530/590)85% (284/335)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.820.55
Total shots
186
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3711
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
146
Passes
90% (530/590)85% (284/335)
Long passes
57% (17/30)66% (37/56)
Passes in final third
85% (199/235)58% (41/71)
Crosses
20% (4/20)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.21
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
614
Tackles
59% (10/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4140
Clearances
834
Interceptions
014
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.551.82
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Gazdag D. (Pen),
  • 38', Moreira S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Benteke C. ,
  • 62', Benteke C. , Badji D. ,
  • 68', Habroune T. , Russell-Rowe J. ,
  • 76', Rossi D. , Lappalainen L. ,
  • 78', Peglow , Leal R. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Lappalainen L. ,
  • 84', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 86', Dodson D. , Kijima H. ,
  • 86', Gabriel Pirani , Hopkins J. ,
  • 86', Boris Enow , Peltola M. ,
  • 89', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gazdag D. , Ruvalcaba C. ,
  • 90+2', Arfsten M. , Sejdic A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
68.2%
Draw
19.3%
DC United
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23.6% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 22.8% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew's performance.
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Columbus Crew - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.61)
    4.94
    (4.03)
    7.73
    (5.46)
    5.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.91%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Columbus Crew will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 3.
    • Columbus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • DC United has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Columbus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Columbus is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Columbus: Amundsen M. (Knee Injury) Camacho R. (Thigh Injury) Hagen N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury) Murrell J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - DC United were as follows:
    29.03.2025 DC United - Columbus Crew 1:2
    28.09.2024 DC United - Columbus Crew 2:2
    06.04.2024 Columbus Crew - DC United 1:1
    08.04.2023 DC United - Columbus Crew 0:2
    04.03.2023 Columbus Crew - DC United 2:0
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of DC United
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    09.07.2025 Nashville SC - DC United 5:2
    05.07.2025 DC United - Atlanta United 0:0
    28.06.2025 DC United - Nashville SC 0:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Charlotte281521146:39747
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls281161142:38439
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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