Club Almagro vs San Miguel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Club Almagro - San Miguel
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 13
  • Referee: Viola F. (Arg)
Club Almagro - San Miguel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
32
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
32
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Cucchi P. , Dornell T. (A),
  • 17', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
  • 18', Vitale J. 🟨,
  • 25', Cardozo F. 🟨,
  • 34', Dornell T. 🟨,
  • 37', Aleman B. 🟨,
  • 39', Luayza M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cucchi P. , Orlando J. ,
  • 46', Parisi L. , Sosa D. ,
  • 46', D. Renteria , Parnisari E. ,
  • 56', Luayza M. , Castro T. ,
  • 56', Vitale J. , Rios R. ,
  • 63', Aleman B. , Mosca C. ,
  • 68', Lattanzio C. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 71', Rojas M. , Almada A. ,
  • 75', Ferrero J. 🟨,
  • 81', Dornell T. , Quiroga F. ,

Chances of winning


Club Almagro
27.6%
Draw
32.7%
San Miguel
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30.8% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 32.7% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Almagro's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Club Almagro - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.63)
    2.84
    (3.05)
    2.35
    (2.8)
    7.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Club Almagro - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin T23109422:14839
    2Atletico Atlanta23109421:15639
    3San Miguel2399522:15736
    4Patronato2398627:21635
    5Deportivo Madryn22810425:19634
    6Gimnasia y Tiro2389620:14633
    7Tristan Suarez23712419:15433
    8Deportivo Maipu2388722:21132
    9Racing Cordoba2379729:30-130
    10Los Andes2377922:22028
    11Quilmes2169622:19327
    12Almagro2369817:20-327
    13Colegiales23761013:19-627
    14Ferro2368915:22-726
    15Club A. Guemes23413619:22-325
    16All Boys23411818:21-323
    17Alvarado2249913:22-921
    18Arsenal Sarandi23391118:33-1518


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy231110224:111343
    2Chacarita Juniors23117530:171340
    3Gimnasia Mendoza221010222:111140
    4Deportivo Moron22109325:111439
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto23911323:14938
    6Temperley23108522:17538
    7Chaco For Ever23114825:18737
    8CA Estudiantes2396821:18333
    9CA Mitre2387817:16131
    10Agropecuario2387826:27-131
    11Def. de Belgrano2279618:15330
    12Nueva Chicago2378821:21029
    13San Telmo2269720:24-427
    14Colon Santa Fe23831220:25-527
    15Central Norte23741220:29-925
    16Almirante Brown23491016:26-1021
    17Defensores Unidos2318149:38-2911
    18Talleres (R.E)2315177:28-218

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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