Club Almagro vs San Miguel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Club Almagro - San Miguel
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 13
  • Referee: Viola F. (Arg)
Club Almagro - San Miguel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
32
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
32
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Cucchi P. , Dornell T. (A),
  • 17', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
  • 18', Vitale J. 🟨,
  • 25', Cardozo F. 🟨,
  • 34', Dornell T. 🟨,
  • 37', Aleman B. 🟨,
  • 39', Luayza M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cucchi P. , Orlando J. ,
  • 46', Parisi L. , Sosa D. ,
  • 46', D. Renteria , Parnisari E. ,
  • 56', Luayza M. , Castro T. ,
  • 56', Vitale J. , Rios R. ,
  • 63', Aleman B. , Mosca C. ,
  • 68', Lattanzio C. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 71', Rojas M. , Almada A. ,
  • 75', Ferrero J. 🟨,
  • 81', Dornell T. , Quiroga F. ,

Chances of winning


Club Almagro
27.6%
Draw
32.7%
San Miguel
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30.8% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 32.7% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Almagro's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Club Almagro - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.63)
    2.84
    (3.05)
    2.35
    (2.8)
    7.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Club Almagro - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn261210436:221446
    2Atletico Atlanta261110525:18743
    3San Miguel261010627:22540
    4Tristan Suarez26912522:17539
    5San Martin T25109623:19439
    6Patronato26108828:24438
    7Gimnasia y Tiro26910722:15737
    8Deportivo Maipu2599724:22236
    9Racing Cordoba2689931:34-333
    10Colegiales26961117:21-433
    11Los Andes26881025:24132
    12Quilmes2579925:26-130
    13All Boys26612820:21-130
    14Almagro26791020:24-430
    15Club A. Guemes26415722:27-527
    16Ferro26691115:27-1227
    17Alvarado255101017:24-725
    18Arsenal Sarandi26591226:38-1224


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza251310227:111649
    2Gimnasia Jujuy261211329:131647
    3Chacarita Juniors26128632:201244
    4Deportivo Moron251110427:141343
    5Chaco For Ever26134928:21743
    6Temperley261110523:17643
    7CA Estudiantes26126828:181042
    8Estudiantes Rio Cuarto261011526:17941
    9Agropecuario2698929:30-135
    10Nueva Chicago26881024:26-232
    11CA Mitre26881018:20-232
    12San Telmo26711824:29-532
    13Def. de Belgrano26710919:21-231
    14Central Norte26851322:30-829
    15Colon Santa Fe26831520:32-1227
    16Almirante Brown265101120:29-925
    17Defensores Unidos262101414:42-2816
    18Talleres (R.E)26351811:31-2014

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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