Toronto FC vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Cincinnati
Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Toronto FC - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.95
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1123
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Long passes
36% (24/67)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)73% (80/109)
Crosses
19% (3/16)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.29
Throw-ins
2925
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
614
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.950.26
Goals prevented
0.950.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Yedlin D. (A),
  • 19', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
  • 20', Petretta R. , Franklin K. ,
  • 24', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 32', Evander 🟨,
  • 36', Franklin K. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Denkey K. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 59', Evander , Kubo Y. ,
  • 59', Smith B. , Engel L. ,
  • 70', Bernardeschi F. , Spicer T. ,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 70', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 77', Hadebe T. , Powell A. ,
  • 85', Valenzuela G. , Kamara K. ,
  • 90', Engel L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
31.4%
Draw
27.4%
Cincinnati
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 26% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.5% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Toronto FC aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.96)
    3.48
    (3.65)
    2.32
    (2.27)
    5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Cimermancic M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 2:0
    25.05.2024 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 3:4
    25.02.2024 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.09.2023 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 2:3
    21.06.2023 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps16105130:121835
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Portland Timbers1785427:23429
    5Los Angeles FC1675430:23726
    6Seattle Sounders1875625:25026
    7Austin FC1865713:20-723
    8San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    9Colorado Rapids1764718:24-622
    10Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1744926:31-516
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1735914:23-914
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9Chicago Fire1674535:29625
    10New York City1774620:20025
    11New England Revolution1565419:14523
    12DC United1846817:36-1918
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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