Toronto FC vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Cincinnati
Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Toronto FC - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.95
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1123
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Long passes
36% (24/67)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)73% (80/109)
Crosses
19% (3/16)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.29
Throw-ins
2925
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
614
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.950.26
Goals prevented
0.950.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Yedlin D. (A),
  • 19', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
  • 20', Petretta R. , Franklin K. ,
  • 24', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 32', Evander 🟨,
  • 36', Franklin K. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Denkey K. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 59', Evander , Kubo Y. ,
  • 59', Smith B. , Engel L. ,
  • 70', Bernardeschi F. , Spicer T. ,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 70', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 77', Hadebe T. , Powell A. ,
  • 85', Valenzuela G. , Kamara K. ,
  • 90', Engel L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
31.4%
Draw
27.4%
Cincinnati
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 26% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.5% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Toronto FC aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.96)
    3.48
    (3.65)
    2.32
    (2.27)
    5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Cimermancic M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 2:0
    25.05.2024 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 3:4
    25.02.2024 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.09.2023 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 2:3
    21.06.2023 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Colorado Rapids2175924:30-626
    10Austin FC2075815:23-826
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Orlando City2197539:281134
    6Inter Miami1795340:281232
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution1966725:23224
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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