Toronto FC vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Cincinnati
Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Toronto FC - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.95
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1123
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Long passes
36% (24/67)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)73% (80/109)
Crosses
19% (3/16)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.29
Throw-ins
2925
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
614
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.950.26
Goals prevented
0.950.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Yedlin D. (A),
  • 19', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
  • 20', Petretta R. , Franklin K. ,
  • 24', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 32', Evander 🟨,
  • 36', Franklin K. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Denkey K. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 59', Evander , Kubo Y. ,
  • 59', Smith B. , Engel L. ,
  • 70', Bernardeschi F. , Spicer T. ,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 70', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 77', Hadebe T. , Powell A. ,
  • 85', Valenzuela G. , Kamara K. ,
  • 90', Engel L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
31.4%
Draw
27.4%
Cincinnati
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 26% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.5% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Toronto FC aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.96)
    3.48
    (3.65)
    2.32
    (2.27)
    5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Cimermancic M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 2:0
    25.05.2024 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 3:4
    25.02.2024 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.09.2023 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 2:3
    21.06.2023 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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