Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.17
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Long passes
51% (20/39)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (93/123)71% (132/187)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.12
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
86
Tackles
50% (6/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
3022
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.171.41
Goals prevented
0.17-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Anunga T. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Anunga T. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 63', Miazga M. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 66', Joveljic D. 🟨,
  • 66', Radoja N. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 73', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Denkey K. , Orellano L. (A),
  • 79', Denkey K. 🟨,
  • 85', Orellano L. , Powell A. ,
  • 86', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 86', Shelton K. , Brody A. ,
  • 86', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Bassong Z. , Thommy E. (A),
  • 90+1', Denkey K. , Baird C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
60.3%
Draw
21.8%
Sporting Kansas City
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.6% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26.1% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.77)
    4.35
    (3.59)
    5.3
    (4.9)
    5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Cincinnati in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kansas City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Davis J. (Hamstring Injury) Rosero D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury) Nwobodo O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.69.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    23.07.2023 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 4:3
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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