Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.17
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Long passes
51% (20/39)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (93/123)71% (132/187)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.12
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
86
Tackles
50% (6/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
3022
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.171.41
Goals prevented
0.17-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Anunga T. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Anunga T. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 63', Miazga M. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 66', Joveljic D. 🟨,
  • 66', Radoja N. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 73', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Denkey K. , Orellano L. (A),
  • 79', Denkey K. 🟨,
  • 85', Orellano L. , Powell A. ,
  • 86', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 86', Shelton K. , Brody A. ,
  • 86', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Bassong Z. , Thommy E. (A),
  • 90+1', Denkey K. , Baird C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
60.3%
Draw
21.8%
Sporting Kansas City
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.6% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26.1% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.77)
    4.35
    (3.59)
    5.3
    (4.9)
    5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Cincinnati in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kansas City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Davis J. (Hamstring Injury) Rosero D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury) Nwobodo O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.69.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    23.07.2023 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 4:3
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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