Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - Columbus Crew
Result
2:4
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
Cincinnati - Columbus Crew - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.10
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
85% (407/478)89% (433/487)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.921.41
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
169
Passes
85% (407/478)89% (433/487)
Long passes
33% (12/36)59% (22/37)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)83% (116/139)
Crosses
26% (5/19)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.50
Throw-ins
178
Fouls
916
Tackles
54% (7/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3931
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.410.92
Goals prevented
-1.59-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Bucha P. , Engel L. (A),
  • 5', 2 - 0, Evander ,
  • 18', Anunga T. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Rossi D. , Aliyu I. (A), Nagbe D. (A2)
  • 45', Bucha P. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 2, Arfsten M. , Chambost D. (A),
  • 45+5', Evander 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', Chambost D. 🟨,
  • 58', Chambost D. , Sejdic A. ,
  • 59', 2 - 3, Robinson M. (Own goal),
  • 61', Anunga T. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 68', Gazdag D. 🟨,
  • 78', Russell-Rowe J. 🟨,
  • 78', Russell-Rowe J. , Habroune T. ,
  • 82', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 82', Kamara K. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 82', Orellano L. , Mboma K. ,
  • 86', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 87', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 4, Habroune T. ,
  • 90+5', Habroune T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
41.9%
Draw
25.4%
Columbus Crew
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 24.6% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 25% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.
  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cincinnati - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.94)
    3.72
    (3.87)
    2.89
    (3.6)
    5.9%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Columbus Crew?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Columbus will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Nwobodo O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Columbus: Amundsen M. (Knee Injury) Camacho R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Flores G. (Ankle Injury) Hadebe T. (Ankle Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Sergio Santos (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N. (Injury) Schulte P. (Abdominal strain)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.09.2024 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 0:0
    11.05.2024 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:2
    02.12.2023 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 2:3
    20.08.2023 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 3:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - Columbus Crew?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
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