Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS
Soccer MLS Cincinnati - Columbus Crew
Result
2:4
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
Cincinnati - Columbus Crew - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.10
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
85% (407/478)89% (433/487)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.921.41
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
169
Passes
85% (407/478)89% (433/487)
Long passes
33% (12/36)59% (22/37)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)83% (116/139)
Crosses
26% (5/19)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.50
Throw-ins
178
Fouls
916
Tackles
54% (7/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3931
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.410.92
Goals prevented
-1.59-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Engel L. (A),
  • 5', 2 - 0, Evander ⚽,
  • 18', Anunga T. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽, Aliyu I. (A), Nagbe D. (A2)
  • 45', Bucha P. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 2, Arfsten M. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
  • 45+5', Evander 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', Chambost D. 🟨,
  • 58', Chambost D. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
  • 59', 2 - 3, Robinson M. (Own goal),
  • 61', Anunga T. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
  • 68', Gazdag D. 🟨,
  • 78', Russell-Rowe J. 🟨,
  • 78', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
  • 82', Yedlin D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
  • 82', Kamara K. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
  • 82', Orellano L. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
  • 86', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 87', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 4, Habroune T. ⚽,
  • 90+5', Habroune T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
41.9%		Draw
25.4%		Columbus Crew
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 24.6% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 25% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.
  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Cincinnati - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.25 ↑
    (1.94)    		 3.72 ↓
    (3.87)    		 2.89 ↓
    (3.6)    		 5.9%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Columbus Crew?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Columbus will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Nwobodo O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Columbus: Amundsen M. (Knee Injury) Camacho R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Flores G. (Ankle Injury) Hadebe T. (Ankle Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Sergio Santos (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N. (Injury) Schulte P. (Abdominal strain)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.09.2024 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 0:0
    11.05.2024 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:2
    02.12.2023 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 2:3
    20.08.2023 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 3:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    05.07.2025 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 2:1 ✺
    28.06.2025 Orlando City - Cincinnati 1:2 ✺
    25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺
    14.06.2025 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Cincinnati - DC United 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    06.07.2025 Seattle Sounders - Columbus Crew 1:1 ✺
    29.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺
    25.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Atlanta United 3:1 ✺
    14.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Inter Miami - Columbus Crew 5:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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