Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Columbus Crew - Cincinnati
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Columbus Crew - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.720.82
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
89% (568/638)78% (229/295)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.720.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.781.03
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
3719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
139
Passes
89% (568/638)78% (229/295)
Long passes
46% (13/28)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
83% (207/248)60% (55/91)
Crosses
20% (5/25)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.78
Throw-ins
165
Fouls
913
Tackles
37% (7/19)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4141
Clearances
1132
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.032.78
Goals prevented
-0.031.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Evander (A),
  • 20', Bucha P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nwobodo O. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Rossi D. (Pen),
  • 59', Aliyu I. , Russell-Rowe J. ,
  • 62', Sergio Santos , Anunga T. ,
  • 79', Denkey K. , Kamara K. ,
  • 79', Orellano L. , Yedlin D. ,
  • 84', Miazga M. , Hadebe T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
50.3%
Draw
25%
Cincinnati
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 26.8% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 28.3% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew's performance.
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cincinnati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Columbus Crew - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.35)
    3.8
    (3.5)
    3.87
    (2.83)
    5.5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (49 of 53 users predict this - 92.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.34%99.56%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Columbus Crew will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 2.
    • Columbus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Columbus is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury) Miazga M. (Injury) Orellano L. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - Cincinnati were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 0:0
    11.05.2024 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:2
    02.12.2023 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 2:3
    20.08.2023 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 3:0
    20.05.2023 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 3:2
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps16105130:121835
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Portland Timbers1785427:23429
    5Los Angeles FC1675430:23726
    6Seattle Sounders1875625:25026
    7Austin FC1865713:20-723
    8San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    9Colorado Rapids1764718:24-622
    10Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1744926:31-516
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1735914:23-914
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9Chicago Fire1674535:29625
    10New York City1774620:20025
    11New England Revolution1565419:14523
    12DC United1846817:36-1918
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Columbus Crew - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaFox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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