CF Montréal vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Cincinnati
Result
1:3
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.92
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
1318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
812
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Long passes
41% (23/56)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
75% (59/79)74% (106/144)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.20
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
128
Tackles
70% (14/20)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3759
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
1.920.89
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Clark C. 🟨,
  • 40', Nwobodo O. , Anunga T. ,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Evander , Yedlin D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Clark C. , Opoku K. ,
  • 55', Guboglo Y. , Sealy D. ,
  • 55', Pearce T. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 58', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Orellano L. , Evander (A),
  • 67', Kamara K. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 71', Piette S. , Craig B. ,
  • 82', Neal J. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Evander , Engel L. (A),
  • 86', Evander , Baird C. ,
  • 86', Orellano L. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 86', Denkey K. , Smith B. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Owusu P. , Vilsaint J. (A),
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bugaj D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
31.7%
Draw
26.2%
Cincinnati
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.5% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • CF Montréal - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (2.97)
    3.62
    (3.63)
    2.28
    (2.28)
    5.2%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Escobar O. (International duty) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Saliba N. (International duty) Sealy D. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Cincinnati were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 4:1
    13.04.2024 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 2:1
    20.09.2023 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:1
    17.05.2023 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN 5
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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