CF Montréal vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Cincinnati
Result
1:3
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.92
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
1318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
812
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Long passes
41% (23/56)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
75% (59/79)74% (106/144)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.20
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
128
Tackles
70% (14/20)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3759
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
1.920.89
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Clark C. 🟨,
  • 40', Nwobodo O. , Anunga T. ,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Evander , Yedlin D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Clark C. , Opoku K. ,
  • 55', Guboglo Y. , Sealy D. ,
  • 55', Pearce T. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 58', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Orellano L. , Evander (A),
  • 67', Kamara K. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 71', Piette S. , Craig B. ,
  • 82', Neal J. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Evander , Engel L. (A),
  • 86', Evander , Baird C. ,
  • 86', Orellano L. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 86', Denkey K. , Smith B. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Owusu P. , Vilsaint J. (A),
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bugaj D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
31.7%
Draw
26.2%
Cincinnati
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.5% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • CF Montréal - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (2.97)
    3.62
    (3.63)
    2.28
    (2.28)
    5.2%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Escobar O. (International duty) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Saliba N. (International duty) Sealy D. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Cincinnati were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 4:1
    13.04.2024 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 2:1
    20.09.2023 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:1
    17.05.2023 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN 5
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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