Cincinnati vs Austin FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - Austin FC
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
Cincinnati - Austin FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.582.14
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
84% (437/522)83% (322/388)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.582.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.450.73
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
3223
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
169
Passes
84% (437/522)83% (322/388)
Long passes
49% (25/51)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
69% (105/152)68% (71/105)
Crosses
28% (5/18)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.92
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
916
Tackles
64% (9/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5042
Clearances
2341
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.732.45
Goals prevented
-0.270.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Evander ,
  • 35', Denkey K. 🟨,
  • 45', Miazga M. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. (Pen),
  • 67', Kubo Y. , Anunga T. ,
  • 68', Sergio Santos , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 69', Sabovic B. 🟨,
  • 73', Vazquez B. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 74', Sanchez I. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Valenzuela G. , Evander (A), Engel L. (A2)
  • 81', Uzuni M. , Bukari O. ,
  • 81', Sabovic B. , Obrian J. ,
  • 83', Orellano L. , Yedlin D. ,
  • 87', Kolmanic Z. , Rubio D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
56.6%
Draw
23.5%
Austin FC
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 25.7% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 24.7% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cincinnati - Austin FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.09)
    4.06
    (3.71)
    4.78
    (3.31)
    4.5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Austin FC?
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cincinnati will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Cincinnati is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Austin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Austin: Desler M. (Hamstring Injury) Pereira D. (Hip Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cincinnati won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Austin FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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