New York City vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Chicago Fire
Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
New York City - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.440.27
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
86% (445/520)79% (223/282)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.440.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.860.60
Total shots
228
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
86% (445/520)79% (223/282)
Long passes
56% (24/43)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
71% (101/143)56% (47/84)
Crosses
13% (3/24)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.30
Throw-ins
1220
Fouls
1219
Tackles
55% (11/20)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5830
Clearances
3634
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.603.86
Goals prevented
-0.400.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. , Dean J. (A), Gutman A. (A2)
  • 28', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 31', Gutierrez B. 🟥,
  • 41', Pineda M. , D'Avilla D. ,
  • 45+1', Dean J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Gray T. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 46', Shore J. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 46', Bamba J. , Kouame R. ,
  • 56', Thiago Martins 🟨,
  • 58', Zinckernagel P. , Barroso L. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Bakrar M. , Haak J. (A), Wolf H. (A2)
  • 60', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Wolf H. , Fernandez J. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 76', Oregel S. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 76', Dean J. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 79', Fernandez J. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 84', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Martinez A. (Pen),
  • 90', Haak J. , Parks K. ,
  • 90', Martinez A. , Cavallo N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
45.7%
Draw
25.5%
Chicago Fire
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 25.2% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 26.1% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • New York City - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.06)
    3.74
    (3.75)
    3.3
    (3.29)
    4.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • NY City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • NY City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) O'Toole K. (Leg Injury) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Mueller C. (Personal Reasons)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    24.08.2024 New York City - Chicago Fire 2:2
    13.07.2024 Chicago Fire - New York City 0:0
    21.10.2023 New York City - Chicago Fire 1:0
    04.03.2023 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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