Chicago Fire vs New York City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Chicago Fire - New York City
Result
1:3
13/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
Chicago Fire - New York City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.41
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (385/468)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.932.17
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
137
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (385/468)
Long passes
43% (19/44)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
74% (107/145)67% (81/121)
Crosses
30% (3/10)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.92
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
716
Tackles
73% (11/15)90% (18/20)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
1817
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.170.93
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Zinckernagel P. , Gutierrez B. (A),
  • 37', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Mercau N. , O'Toole K. (A), Wolf H. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Franco A. , Oregel S. ,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Martinez A. ,
  • 67', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 71', O'Neill A. , Shore J. ,
  • 80', Mercau N. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 81', Waterman J. , Barlow T. ,
  • 90', Raul Gustavo , Tanasijevic S. ,
  • 90', Martinez A. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Garfield Reid S. , Gray T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
44.9%
Draw
25.3%
New York City
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 25.8% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 25% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Chicago Fire - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.07)
    3.75
    (3.65)
    3.16
    (3.28)
    5.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). NY City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
    • Chicago is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • NY City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.
    • Chicago might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury) Perea A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - New York City were as follows:
    25.05.2025 New York City - Chicago Fire 3:1
    24.08.2024 New York City - Chicago Fire 2:2
    13.07.2024 Chicago Fire - New York City 0:0
    21.10.2023 New York City - Chicago Fire 1:0
    04.03.2023 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of New York City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Chicago Fire - New York City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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