New York City vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Chicago Fire
Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
New York City - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.440.27
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
86% (445/520)79% (223/282)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.440.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.860.60
Total shots
228
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
86% (445/520)79% (223/282)
Long passes
56% (24/43)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
71% (101/143)56% (47/84)
Crosses
13% (3/24)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.30
Throw-ins
1220
Fouls
1219
Tackles
55% (11/20)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5830
Clearances
3634
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.603.86
Goals prevented
-0.400.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. , Dean J. (A), Gutman A. (A2)
  • 28', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 31', Gutierrez B. 🟥,
  • 41', Pineda M. , D'Avilla D. ,
  • 45+1', Dean J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Gray T. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 46', Shore J. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 46', Bamba J. , Kouame R. ,
  • 56', Thiago Martins 🟨,
  • 58', Zinckernagel P. , Barroso L. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Bakrar M. , Haak J. (A), Wolf H. (A2)
  • 60', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Wolf H. , Fernandez J. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 76', Oregel S. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 76', Dean J. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 79', Fernandez J. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 84', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Martinez A. (Pen),
  • 90', Haak J. , Parks K. ,
  • 90', Martinez A. , Cavallo N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
45.7%
Draw
25.5%
Chicago Fire
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 25.2% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 26.1% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • New York City - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.06)
    3.74
    (3.75)
    3.3
    (3.29)
    4.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • NY City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • NY City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) O'Toole K. (Leg Injury) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Mueller C. (Personal Reasons)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    24.08.2024 New York City - Chicago Fire 2:2
    13.07.2024 Chicago Fire - New York City 0:0
    21.10.2023 New York City - Chicago Fire 1:0
    04.03.2023 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City27661539:55-1624
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Charlotte281521146:39747
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls281161142:38439
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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