DC United vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS DC United - Chicago Fire
Result
1:7
07/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
DC United - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.39
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (430/517)80% (313/389)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.193.77
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
75
Passes
83% (430/517)80% (313/389)
Long passes
45% (26/58)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
64% (87/136)61% (47/77)
Crosses
12% (3/25)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.21
Throw-ins
158
Fouls
57
Tackles
46% (6/13)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
1639
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.771.19
Goals prevented
-3.230.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Haile-Selassie M. , Dean J. (A), Kouame R. (A2)
  • 8', Tubbs G. 🟨,
  • 12', Kouame R. , Williams S. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Bamba J. , Zinckernagel P. (A),
  • 30', 0 - 3, Barlow T. , Gutman A. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 4, Barlow T. , Bamba J. (A), Haile-Selassie M. (A2)
  • 45+1', Bamba J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Zouhir R. , Leal R. ,
  • 46', Bamba J. , Gutierrez B. ,
  • 46', Dean J. , Barroso L. ,
  • 57', 0 - 5, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 58', Murrell J. , Badji D. ,
  • 59', Elliott J. , Rogers S. ,
  • 60', 1 - 5, Badji D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 6, Barlow T. ,
  • 66', Stroud J. , Turner G. ,
  • 72', Acosta K. 🟨,
  • 76', Barlow T. , Shokalook J. ,
  • 80', Antley C. , Dodson D. ,
  • 80', Gabriel Pirani , Barajas F. ,
  • 85', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 7, Gutierrez B. , Shokalook J. (A), Rogers S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


DC United
35%
Draw
26.9%
Chicago Fire
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 27.1% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 29.1% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DC United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • DC United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.42)
    3.54
    (3.49)
    2.49
    (2.81)
    4.9%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for DC United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2.
    • Recent performances by DC United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in DC United: Peltola M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Hopkins J. (Hip Injury) Kim J. (Lower-Body Injury) MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury) Tubbs G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Rogers S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Chicago Fire - DC United 2:2
    07.09.2024 Chicago Fire - DC United 1:2
    25.05.2024 DC United - Chicago Fire 1:1
    02.09.2023 DC United - Chicago Fire 4:0
    01.04.2023 Chicago Fire - DC United 0:0
    Latest results of DC United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps16105130:121835
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Portland Timbers1785427:23429
    5Los Angeles FC1675430:23726
    6Seattle Sounders1875625:25026
    7Austin FC1865713:20-723
    8San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    9Colorado Rapids1764718:24-622
    10Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1744926:31-516
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1735914:23-914
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9Chicago Fire1674535:29625
    10New York City1774620:20025
    11New England Revolution1565419:14523
    12DC United1846817:36-1918
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of DC United - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 2
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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